"Maybe I was wr-wr-wr-wrong….." - Tequilla
Whether Fisch is the answer or not at this point honestly isn't really the question
The problem is that if you lose Fisch now you're going to lose the roster and almost assuredly not going to be in the same spot going into next year
For program stability it's best to keep Fisch …
We can have every debate possible about Sark 2.0 and that's fine … but even though it isn't popular Sark stabilized the program and upgraded the talent level that set the stage for what CP was able to do
What's your ceiling with the next hire given how many openings there are? Wilcox?
That's why I'm not interested in going after a new coach this offseason …
If by "program stability" you mean struggling to break .500 in league play for the rest of eternity and crossing your fingers you get a super easy road schedule every 5 or 6 years, then yeah, keeping this guy would lead to stability.
imagine, though, how bad things could get if this guy actually feels comfortable in this job? this is what he's delivering feeling a little heat.
churn and burn is the name of the game today. at the absurd salaries these guys command, it's an appropriate market dynamic.
how long does Vegas keep a headliner employed who doesn't pack the house? how many $80+ million budget movies does a star get from Hollywood who doesn't make it back?
coaches are no longer the curmudgeon, grizzled, alcoholic PE teachers who ruled their programs but were not part of the spectacle. today, they are more celebrated than most of the players.
with that status, they get the hook as quickly as players always have. it's put up or shut up.
program stability is an old thing. you can suck one year and contend the next with the right moves. gotta make the moves. It's not 1990 anymore.
There are plenty of legit reasons to question whether giving Jedd an extension is good business … I'm not immune to that line of thinking
I do see some significant roster gaps that we still need 1-2 more classes to cover the institutional rot that was in place after the 2023 season … those paying attention know that DeBoer's recruiting wasn't good and that the roster that Jedd inherited was not good.
IF Jedd leaves then the odds of taking at least 1 step backwards in terms of the roster and we're looking at likely a 2-3 year rebuild. It's easy to say "go spend money to buy a roster" but what gives you any confidence that UW and Pat Chun will be doing that?
When people ask "who to hire" if Jedd leaves, it's an honest one. Maybe you can get a better coach but they don't have the roster to bring with them … it's all about getting the players right?
I do think Jedd has a relatively good floor here in the 8+ win range. I do think it's fair to question how often he can get to the 10+ range. Saturday at Wisconsin didn't help in that regard.
My opinion is that I'd rather push the decision on Jedd leaving (either because he's not good enough and gets fired or he is good enough and goes to the NFL, etc.) to 1-2 years down the road. I'd rather be facing a scenario of going into the coaching market in what is likely a better position than where we are today.
But I can completely understand not extending him or whatever is being more to the program's benefit than Jedd's benefit.
I can completely understand choosing the $10M buyout if someone (UCLA) chooses to poach him.
Regardless UW isn't operating from a position of strength here and that's not a good thing
I also don't trust Chun at all … so there's that