Tequilla
Active poster
As I said last night, not hard to see this coming. Ohio gave the Committee an easy out on the TCU vs. Baylor debate.
My eyes are better than those on the Committee and TCU is one of the Top 4 teams in the Country ... but whatever on that.
Alabama and Oregon belong. Florida State didn't lost and played 3 legit P5 teams in the non-conference plus the 8 games in their conference plus a title game. They belong. You have 3 teams going for 1 spot in Ohio, Baylor, and TCU.
I've rehashed most of this already so no reason to go into a TL, DR explanation. Ohio has the worst loss of the 3 and the only one of the 3 to lose at home. The Big 12 was a better conference than the Big 10 (although both are behind the SEC, PAC, and ACC). Anybody that needs help understanding that should look at a winless Big 12 team in Iowa State winning on the road at Iowa. TCU vs. Baylor is a little more tricky because of the H2H aspect. TCU IMO was the better team throughout the course of the year but they weren't for 10 minutes of game play and it cost them. The lesson as always is win all of your games and take the decision out of the hands of others.
A couple of things that I really think that are quite amusing to me:
1) TCU was ranked either 3rd or 4th last week based on their body of work. For them to fall 2 or 3 spots after beating a conference opponent by over 50 points is downright laughable. If you think that they are the 6th best team in the nation that's fine and if you can support that opinion then so be it. But if they were the 3rd or 4th best team last week, there hasn't been that much change over the last week to support that change IMO.
2) There was an argument used that stated that the 13th game for Ohio was a massive differentiator between them and the 2 Big 12 teams. The 13th game for Ohio gave them 9 games against their conference (8 regular season + 1 in the conference title game). The Big 12 teams play 9 conference games. Both Ohio and TCU played P5 teams in the OOC schedule. So basically what they are saying is that Ohio's games against either Cincy or Navy are the games that made the difference.
A couple of random thoughts in my head:
1) TCU has a lot to reconsider regarding their annual rivalry game with SMU as long as SMU is a joke. Today's results make it crystal clear that TCU will have to take any doubt away with their resume whether that be with the SMU game or the D2 game that just about everybody is playing today.
2) Much like how the PAC is perceived to be down when USC isn't at the top, same is true in the Big 12 when Texas and Oklahoma are down.
3) Does the voting go the same way if one of TCU or Baylor was replaced by Oklahoma or Texas?
4) Would TCU or Baylor have been better off and in the Top 4 if they were a clear cut conference champion instead of co-champions?
5) I expect that the Big 12 will be expanding by 2 teams and/or petitioning for a Conference Championship game between its top 2 teams
In the end, it's on TCU for blowing a 21 point lead with 10 minutes to go. Nobody to really blame but themselves for it. That being said, it's a very bitter pill to swallow that when your body of work has your only loss was on the road to a Top 5 team by a FG on the last play of the game and that that was the only time in that game that you trailed.
My eyes are better than those on the Committee and TCU is one of the Top 4 teams in the Country ... but whatever on that.
Alabama and Oregon belong. Florida State didn't lost and played 3 legit P5 teams in the non-conference plus the 8 games in their conference plus a title game. They belong. You have 3 teams going for 1 spot in Ohio, Baylor, and TCU.
I've rehashed most of this already so no reason to go into a TL, DR explanation. Ohio has the worst loss of the 3 and the only one of the 3 to lose at home. The Big 12 was a better conference than the Big 10 (although both are behind the SEC, PAC, and ACC). Anybody that needs help understanding that should look at a winless Big 12 team in Iowa State winning on the road at Iowa. TCU vs. Baylor is a little more tricky because of the H2H aspect. TCU IMO was the better team throughout the course of the year but they weren't for 10 minutes of game play and it cost them. The lesson as always is win all of your games and take the decision out of the hands of others.
A couple of things that I really think that are quite amusing to me:
1) TCU was ranked either 3rd or 4th last week based on their body of work. For them to fall 2 or 3 spots after beating a conference opponent by over 50 points is downright laughable. If you think that they are the 6th best team in the nation that's fine and if you can support that opinion then so be it. But if they were the 3rd or 4th best team last week, there hasn't been that much change over the last week to support that change IMO.
2) There was an argument used that stated that the 13th game for Ohio was a massive differentiator between them and the 2 Big 12 teams. The 13th game for Ohio gave them 9 games against their conference (8 regular season + 1 in the conference title game). The Big 12 teams play 9 conference games. Both Ohio and TCU played P5 teams in the OOC schedule. So basically what they are saying is that Ohio's games against either Cincy or Navy are the games that made the difference.
A couple of random thoughts in my head:
1) TCU has a lot to reconsider regarding their annual rivalry game with SMU as long as SMU is a joke. Today's results make it crystal clear that TCU will have to take any doubt away with their resume whether that be with the SMU game or the D2 game that just about everybody is playing today.
2) Much like how the PAC is perceived to be down when USC isn't at the top, same is true in the Big 12 when Texas and Oklahoma are down.
3) Does the voting go the same way if one of TCU or Baylor was replaced by Oklahoma or Texas?
4) Would TCU or Baylor have been better off and in the Top 4 if they were a clear cut conference champion instead of co-champions?
5) I expect that the Big 12 will be expanding by 2 teams and/or petitioning for a Conference Championship game between its top 2 teams
In the end, it's on TCU for blowing a 21 point lead with 10 minutes to go. Nobody to really blame but themselves for it. That being said, it's a very bitter pill to swallow that when your body of work has your only loss was on the road to a Top 5 team by a FG on the last play of the game and that that was the only time in that game that you trailed.