*****Election Day and Broken Water Main Game Thread*****

like I said
GA/AZ/NC are going Trump.
Watch WI and NH
VA and PA will take forever to sort out. MI will stay blue.
 
UW_Doog_Bot said:
Swaye said:
Just posted. Can't tell if serious or trying to cover the cheat.
Kamala Harris predicted to win by nearly every major forecaster
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That's A tossup by Nate.
It's a psyop to discourage same day voters...which skew heavily GOP.
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From that article:
Since 1998, election polls in U.S. presidential, House, Senate, and governor races have typically missed the final vote margin by about 6 points on average, according to FiveThirtyEight's analysis.
For example, in 2020, polls showed President Joe Biden with a strong lead over then President Trump. Just before the election, Biden led by 8.4 points in FiveThirtyEight's average. He ultimately won the popular vote by less than 4.5 points—just enough for an Electoral College victory.
Similarly, in 2016, FiveThirtyEight gave Hillary Clinton a 71 percent chance of winning, but she ultimately lost the Electoral College despite winning the popular vote.
 
Swaye said:
greenblood said:
I've been following polls on 538, which typically leans slightly left, and Trump is polling better by about 2-4% or more in every battleground state than he did in 2020. And given how close those results were, I'm betting that this will be a pretty uneventful night. Trump 312-226.
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Fox was just saying heavy heavy woman turnout which could actually mean the polls are under for Kamala. I have no idea what to think because I follow none of this closely. I do get the basic premise if women turn out huge then Kamalas chances increase because women are emotional voters, like Bearswiin.
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Wait! Bearswin is a dude?
 
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