*****Election Day and Broken Water Main Game Thread*****

greenblood said:
I've been following polls on 538, which typically leans slightly left, and Trump is polling better by about 2-4% or more in every battleground state than he did in 2020. And given how close those results were, I'm betting that this will be a pretty uneventful night. Trump 312-226.
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Fox was just saying heavy heavy woman turnout which could actually mean the polls are under for Kamala. I have no idea what to think because I follow none of this closely. I do get the basic premise if women turn out huge then Kamalas chances increase because women are emotional voters, like Bearswiin.
 
Swaye said:
greenblood said:
I've been following polls on 538, which typically leans slightly left, and Trump is polling better by about 2-4% or more in every battleground state than he did in 2020. And given how close those results were, I'm betting that this will be a pretty uneventful night. Trump 312-226.
Click to expand...
Fox was just saying heavy heavy woman turnout which could actually mean the polls are under for Kamala. I have no idea what to think because I follow none of this closely. I do get the basic premise if women turn out huge then Kamalas chances increase because women are emotional voters, like Bearswiin.
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They are discounting women GOP voters.
If they are female they do skew dem.
If they are voting in person today the skew is even further to GOP than by gender.
Worst case it's evening out. Which isn't adequate to overcome her awful performance with men.
 
Swaye said:
greenblood said:
I've been following polls on 538, which typically leans slightly left, and Trump is polling better by about 2-4% or more in every battleground state than he did in 2020. And given how close those results were, I'm betting that this will be a pretty uneventful night. Trump 312-226.
Click to expand...
Fox was just saying heavy heavy woman turnout which could actually mean the polls are under for Kamala. I have no idea what to think because I follow none of this closely. I do get the basic premise if women turn out huge then Kamalas chances increase because women are emotional voters, like Bearswiin.
Click to expand...
Early voting and vote by mail for democrat areas was down hundreds of thousands of votes from last time while GOP areas was up. So if they don't show out today, they are cooked.
 
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Swaye said:
Just posted. Can't tell if serious or trying to cover the cheat.
Kamala Harris predicted to win by nearly every major forecaster
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That's A tossup by Nate.
It's a psyop to discourage same day voters...which skew heavily GOP.
 
Saw Oprah telling a crowd if Trump is elected women will lose the right to vote. lol. Just absurdity on top of absurdity.
 
Pretty amazing polling going on. They are changing by the hour which means they are worthless. I am not good at picking winners in Presidential politics and I really have no idea who wins this, but I can tell you that if a polling outfit is changing by 1-2% points daily, they are full of crap. There is so much detail that goes into good data research that you can't change variables every day and expect to be accurate.
 
Bendintheriver said:
Pretty amazing polling going on. They are changing by the hour which means they are worthless. I am not good at picking winners in Presidential politics and I really have no idea who wins this, but I can tell you that if a polling outfit is changing by 1-2% points daily, they are full of crap. There is so much detail that goes into good data research that you can't change variables every day and expect to be accurate.
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Too many rule changes for any of it to be meaningful this year anyways.
 
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