Unless you've set lines in Vegas, you have no right to criticize the lines!
Not true at all. I know the stock market is efficient enough that most people can't beat it. Same with the vegas sports books. Its such an efficient market that until proven otherwise, I'm pretty sure you ain't making any money long term. If you had a positive expected value on sports betting you'd be on a yacht somewhere and not working at a desk job arguing with me.
What was the line last week between Stanford and WSU?
A sample size of one means absolutely nothing. A single bet has to be over or under the spread, so one score doesn't mean anything. over the long run you wont beat the spread.
What does Vegas know that we don't? Fuck it, if we win it'll be the best $200 I ever lost.
Vegas in aggregate knows a lot more than you or me. If there are any inefficieinces there are Phd in stats who will move in and make the line accurate in a short amount of time.
For the record, i'm with most of you on sark being shitty until proven otherwise. Vegas had us going 7-5 before the season started, and yet had us favored in the first 4 games. So the "script" is going right as planned so far. I'm still betting on a 7 or 8 win season at most (and anything short of 10 wins deserves and immediate termination for sark), but gotta call out the "i'm smarter than vegas" crowds on both sides...at doogman and here
