Our defense against their offense: this one is straightforward, they will score on us but our defense will make a couple of plays to give us the chance to be ahead. Their running game is good, but I am more worried about McCarty's scrambling. They will likely score in the high 20s.
Our offense against their defense: A healthy DJ and a healthy 3 headed monster receiving group will be able to score on Michigan just like they did against Texas. Final outcome: 31-27.
Two less likely scenarios:
1. They defense harasses Penix the whole game and our offense has a game like the one against ASU. Injuries might make this happen, otherwise no chance.
2. Their defense is shellshocked by Penix and Co. and we score at will like the USC game. Unfortunately, Michigan defense looks way better than USC's. On the other hand, they never faced an offense that has anything close to our firepower, so there is a slim chance this might happen.