Top 30 Recruits since 2000, per Composite TBS Ratings

AIRWOLF

AIRWOLF

New Fish
Here are the rankings with my comments. I also attached a file with the actual data.

1 Reggie Williams - All time great
2 Shaq Thompson - Super star difference maker
3 Nathan Rhodes - Injury retirement bust
4 Jacob Sirmon - Going to be great next year…as a Junior at Bothell HS
5 Matt Tuiasosopo - MLB draft. Couldn't hit
6 Charles Frederick - Solid player, overrated probably
7 Kavario Middleton - Massively overrated, no strength or desire, transfer BUST
8 Kasen Williams - Horrible injury derailed career, still solid
9 Dan Dicks - Overrated
10 Austin Seferian-Jenkins - Super star difference maker
11 Jake Locker - Tim Tebow with speed, wasted on bad teams
12 Budda Baker - Stud
13 Casey Paus - LOL
14 Donny Mateaki - Massively overrated
15 Damore'ea Stringfellow - Currently keepin' it real in Oxford, MS
16 Craig Chambers - *poop emoji*
17 Jake Browning - Colt McCoy starter kit?
18 Byron Murphy - Biggest Positive Signing Day surprise since 2000, by the ratings
19 Troy Williams - Starting for the Utes in 2016?
20 Cyler Miles - Lamar Latrell throwing motion + gimpy hip = BUST
21 Sean Parker - Solid player, overrated probably
22 Elijah Qualls - Super star difference maker (?)
23 Sione Potoa'e - Massively overrated
24 Darrell Daniels - Criminally underutilized so far
25 Camilo Eifler - Highest rated LB recruit since 2000
26 Isaiah Stanback - Tons of talent, wasted on bad teams
27 Chris Polk - Best UW RB not named Sankey since Corey Dillon
28 Josh Shirley - Overrated, managed to be productive without being "good"
29 Jaydon Mickens - Caught more than he dropped
30 Keith Taylor - Jimmy Lake seems to know what he is doing
 
So what you are saying is that player development matters
Click to expand...

Evaluation matters too. The TBS recruiting consensus isn't a terrible indicator of talent, but it gets plenty wrong too.

And, not to sound like Petersen, but evaluating character and motivation matters too.

Let's take the case of Kavario Middleton. The guy came in as one of our highest rated players ever, but he was a complete weakling and was totally lacking in the work ethic necessarily to get stronger and better.
 
Thank you for this @AIRWOLF - this is awesome. Because you're so smart and right about almost everything, I didn't have much to crisp, but I still crisped what I could.

1 Reggie Williams - All time great
 
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The next 30:

31 Deontae Cooper - Worst luck ever. Now a Junior/Senior and collecting Social Security
32 Joe Mathis - All hair team. Edgy. Might turn out to be decent, but looking overrated so far.
33 Chris Izbicki - Worthless
34 James Sample - Transfered to Louisville. Pretty good there
35 Everrette Thompson - Decent player, at best. Overrated
36 Eric Kohler - Fell apart physically. Didn't suck when healthy. Injury bust.
37 Brandon Wellington - Bargain basement Shaq T?
38 Cameron Elisara - EGADS!
39 Sean McGrew - Pigmentationally challenged former star of Little People, Big World
40 K.J. Carta-Samuels - Best UW double-wing QB since Gil Dobie prowled the sidelines
41 Benning Potoae - Potato the Elder was disappointing
42 Austin Joyner - *fingers crossed*
43 Jermaine Kelly - Disappointing. Transferred.
44 Isaiah Gilchrist - Slightly less athletic Buda Baker, hopefully.
45 Kevin Smith - Late bloomer as a WR. Now in NFL. Next Kearse?
46 John Ross - Fast and explosive. Maybe he'll learn to play WR
47 Jeff Lindquist - He is a good student and Swedish.
48 Henry Roberts - Hopefully more Steve Schilling than Dan Dicks
49 Pio Vatuvei - It is always 420 somewhere.
50 Alameda Ta'amu - NFL Player. Probably ranked about right.
51 Bishop Sankey - He was actually underrated. Top 4 UW RB of all time.
52 Luke Wattenberg - A highly rated OL from California? Is this a typo?
53 Kenny James - He was okay. Possibly overrated. Played on bad teams.
54 Marcel Reece - When you can recruit a future pro bowl fullback, you do it, even as a WR.
55 Dashon Goldson - Very good player who played on atrocious defenses. Long time NFL player.
56 Keauntea Bankhead - Jayson Bass Award Winner
57 E.J. Savannah - Probably would have been pretty good with decent coaching
58 Stanley Daniels - Well spoken wireless internet salesman
59 John Lyon - Poor man's Izbicki
60 J.R. Hasty - First Team All Dipshit
 
So what you are saying is that player development matters
Click to expand...

Evaluation matters too. The TBS recruiting consensus isn't a terrible indicator of talent, but it gets plenty wrong too.

And, not to sound like Petersen, but evaluating character and motivation matters too.

Let's take the case of Kavario Middleton. The guy came in as one of our highest rated players ever, but he was a complete weakling and was totally lacking in the work ethic necessarily to get stronger and better.
Click to expand...

I'm sorry to bash the kids, but if you have ever met Middleton you know he's a dickhead. If he was tough, it would be fine, but he's was Charmin soft on the field. He did have great hands though. His size and hands let him dominate at the high school level, but he didn't have the speed or quickness to be a true threat in college. If he wasn't a pussy he could have been a huge blocking TE with great hands.
 
The next 30:

31 Deontae Cooper - Worst luck ever. Now a Junior/Senior and collecting Social Security
32 Joe Mathis - All hair team. Edgy. Might turn out to be decent, but looking overrated so far.
33 Chris Izbicki - Worthless
34 James Sample - Transfered to Louisville. Pretty good there
35 Everrette Thompson - Decent player, at best. Overrated
36 Eric Kohler - Fell apart physically. Didn't suck when healthy. Injury bust.
37 Brandon Wellington - Bargain basement Shaq T?
38 Cameron Elisara - EGADS!
39 Sean McGrew - Pigmentationally challenged former star of Little People, Big World
40 K.J. Carta-Samuels - Best UW double-wing QB since Gil Dobie prowled the sidelines
41 Benning Potoae - Potato the Elder was disappointing
42 Austin Joyner - *fingers crossed*
43 Jermaine Kelly - Disappointing. Transferred.
44 Isaiah Gilchrist - Slightly less athletic Buda Baker, hopefully.
45 Kevin Smith - Late bloomer as a WR. Now in NFL. Next Kearse?
46 John Ross - Fast and explosive. Maybe he'll learn to play WR
47 Jeff Lindquist - He is a good student and Swedish.
48 Henry Roberts - Hopefully more Steve Schilling than Dan Dicks
49 Pio Vatuvei - It is always 420 somewhere.
50 Alameda Ta'amu - NFL Player. Probably ranked about right.
51 Bishop Sankey - He was actually underrated. Top 4 UW RB of all time.
52 Luke Wattenberg - A highly rated OL from California? Is this a typo?
53 Kenny James - He was okay. Possibly overrated. Played on bad teams.
54 Marcel Reece - When you can recruit a future pro bowl fullback, you do it, even as a WR.
55 Dashon Goldson - Very good player who played on atrocious defenses. Long time NFL player.
56 Keauntea Bankhead - Jayson Bass Award Winner
57 E.J. Savannah - Probably would have been pretty good with decent coaching
58 Stanley Daniels - Well spoken wireless internet salesman
59 John Lyon - Poor man's Izbicki
60 J.R. Hasty - First Team All Dipshit
Click to expand...

I feel like I'm reading one of my own poasts. Well done.
 
So what you are saying is that player development matters
Click to expand...

Evaluation matters too. The TBS recruiting consensus isn't a terrible indicator of talent, but it gets plenty wrong too.

And, not to sound like Petersen, but evaluating character and motivation matters too.

Let's take the case of Kavario Middleton. The guy came in as one of our highest rated players ever, but he was a complete weakling and was totally lacking in the work ethic necessarily to get stronger and better.
Click to expand...

I'm sorry to bash the kids, but if you have ever met Middleton you know he's a dickhead. If he was tough, it would be fine, but he's was Charmin soft on the field. He did have great hands though. His size and hands let him dominate at the high school level, but he didn't have the speed or quickness to be a true threat in college. If he wasn't a pussy he could have been a huge blocking TE with great hands.
Click to expand...

I have heard that his max bench press as a HS senior started with a 1.
 
Keep in mind, the 247 composite rankings has much less data on the previous classes because it is only using one source versus the latter ones which are a true composite of 4 systems. It's impossible to adjust for with just this data, but you can consider there to be quite a bit more deviation and variation between the 2000-2006 classes versus the 2007-2016 classes due to the increased number of observations for each ranking. Also, the methodologies of evaluating and ranking players has changed over time, so it's difficult to compare across a 15-year period.

It really isn't much, but I just wanted to bitch because I was thinking about posting this data over the weekend.
 
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