Time to Embarrass Yourself Again!!! Predict UW's 2019 team record!!!

Time to Embarrass Yourself Again!!! Predict UW's 2019 team record!!!

  • Total voters
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Petersen as head coach at Washington (conference opponents):

Overall: 32-15, 68%
Home: 15-7, 68%
Away: 17-8, 68% (P12CG counts as away for this exercise)

Against ranked opponent: 9-9, 50%

In the second of back to back home games: 5-1
In the second of back to back road games: 3-2 (P12CG excluded for this one)*

*These last two measures may be statistically worthless due to small sample size and high variation of opponent quality.

Worst record against (team): Stanford (2-3), ASU (2-3), Oregon (2-3), USC (1-1)
Worst record against (coach): Graham (1-3), Shaw (2-3)[/b], Helfrich (1-2), Helton (0-1)[/b], Cristobal (0-1)[/b], Wilcox (1-1)[/b] (bold denotes current coach)

It's amazing how consistent the road and home records are, so that's not much help in predicting 2019. There are two sets of consecutive conference road games and one set of consecutive conference home games, the latter of which Petersen has won at a far higher clip since taking over (again, small sample size). Also, Whittingham is one of the current conference coaches against whom Petersen has the best record.

My losses are one of Stanford and Arizona (mediocre record against Shaw/Stanford vs. slightly below average performance in consecutive away games) and one of USC and Oregon (Petersen's amazing ability to consistently lose to the shittiest coaches in the conference).

Win P12CG and shit bed in Rose or lose P12CG and win Alamo.
 
There's a really good chance that the P12 is the number 2 conference this year ...

The ACC is total dreck outside of Clemson.

The Big 10 will likely be up and down as Pedo is supposedly rebuilding, Ohio lost a ton, and pretty sure that Harbaugh will find a way to fuck things up.

The Big 12 I have a feeling is going to be a mess this year. Oklahoma should supposedly be good but they can't play D and I'm still not convinced Hurts is an elite QB anywhere close to Baker or Kyler. And Texas just feels way overrated to me. There's a lot of 7-9 win teams in that conference.

The PAC 12 has 9 returning starting QBs this year (Colorado, Utah, Arizona, USC, UCLA, Stanford, Cal, Oregon, and Oregon St). On top of that, you have QBs at Washington and Wazzu with starting experience at different schools. The quality of offense in the conference should be really good. The big question will be how they perform out of conference. A strong performance and you may get to a point where an 11-2 conference champion actually looks pretty favorable ... at least compared to anybody else with 2 losses.
 

There's a really good chance that the P12 is the number 2 conference this year ...

The ACC is total dreck outside of Clemson.

The Big 10 will likely be up and down as Pedo is supposedly rebuilding, Ohio lost a ton, and pretty sure that Harbaugh will find a way to fuck things up.

The Big 12 I have a feeling is going to be a mess this year. Oklahoma should supposedly be good but they can't play D and I'm still not convinced Hurts is an elite QB anywhere close to Baker or Kyler. And Texas just feels way overrated to me. There's a lot of 7-9 win teams in that conference.

The PAC 12 has 9 returning starting QBs this year (Colorado, Utah, Arizona, USC, UCLA, Stanford, Cal, Oregon, and Oregon St). On top of that, you have QBs at Washington and Wazzu with starting experience at different schools. The quality of offense in the conference should be really good. The big question will be how they perform out of conference. A strong performance and you may get to a point where an 11-2 conference champion actually looks pretty favorable ... at least compared to anybody else with 2 losses.
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I agree that the ceiling for the conference is 2, and that the ACC sans Clemson is absolute trash and worthy of last place among the P5. Ohio State didn't just lose a ton of players, they lost one of the greatest coaches of all time. There might be a few years of Meyer momentum that obfuscates their decline because of W-L #s, but it will happen. Statistically the coaches who follow elite coaches almost always fail. And the CFB coaching graveyards are littered with solid DCs who got promoted to HC.

Agreed on Oklahoma. Texas is getting a lot of hype because they beat a completely disinterested UGA team.

The P12 really needs another very good/hypothetically-could-flirt-with-being-elite team. Maybe USC because of the brand. Or Oregon because they're the only school with tons of real, passionate fans. Both have proven shitty coaches though. Utah is established and will probably win the south (and maybe the conference) but don't think they have the massive ceiling.
 
Browning - 11k twitter followers
Eason - 123k twitter followers

QB level up confirmed gfg dd no re
 
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There's a really good chance that the P12 is the number 2 conference this year ...

The ACC is total dreck outside of Clemson.

The Big 10 will likely be up and down as Pedo is supposedly rebuilding, Ohio lost a ton, and pretty sure that Harbaugh will find a way to fuck things up.

The Big 12 I have a feeling is going to be a mess this year. Oklahoma should supposedly be good but they can't play D and I'm still not convinced Hurts is an elite QB anywhere close to Baker or Kyler. And Texas just feels way overrated to me. There's a lot of 7-9 win teams in that conference.

The PAC 12 has 9 returning starting QBs this year (Colorado, Utah, Arizona, USC, UCLA, Stanford, Cal, Oregon, and Oregon St). On top of that, you have QBs at Washington and Wazzu with starting experience at different schools. The quality of offense in the conference should be really good. The big question will be how they perform out of conference. A strong performance and you may get to a point where an 11-2 conference champion actually looks pretty favorable ... at least compared to anybody else with 2 losses.
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8

Tate is going to be benched game 2 or 3 as he's currently losing the qb competition, but since Sumlin is a pussy hell start him game 1 so the fans and ESPN don't get mad at him.
 
Loss to at ‘Fraud or Utah finally gets us. Win conference again; make whoever we get in our NY6 game our bitch. Bring on ‘20 and the off-season Natty!
 
7-5. Petersen gets hired at USC. Dogs 41-Cougars 10 on the apple cup.
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Accepting plungers from Pete for eternity while praying he gets poached is where you belong.
 
There's a really good chance that the P12 is the number 2 conference this year ...

The ACC is total dreck outside of Clemson.

The Big 10 will likely be up and down as Pedo is supposedly rebuilding, Ohio lost a ton, and pretty sure that Harbaugh will find a way to fuck things up.

The Big 12 I have a feeling is going to be a mess this year. Oklahoma should supposedly be good but they can't play D and I'm still not convinced Hurts is an elite QB anywhere close to Baker or Kyler. And Texas just feels way overrated to me. There's a lot of 7-9 win teams in that conference.

The PAC 12 has 9 returning starting QBs this year (Colorado, Utah, Arizona, USC, UCLA, Stanford, Cal, Oregon, and Oregon St). On top of that, you have QBs at Washington and Wazzu with starting experience at different schools. The quality of offense in the conference should be really good. The big question will be how they perform out of conference. A strong performance and you may get to a point where an 11-2 conference champion actually looks pretty favorable ... at least compared to anybody else with 2 losses.
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Solid argument especially with the QBs but perception wise whatever team rises to the top in the Big Ten will have an advantage over us and Clemson is Clemson so it doesn't really matter how strong the ACC is.

Also the non-conference matchups work against us. The best PAC teams either don't have any marquee nonconference matchups or have a bad matchup. The shitty PAC teams have the best nonconference games (combo of name plus winnable.)

P5 matchups:

UW- nothing. @BYU?
Utah- nothing. @BYU?

Oregon- vs Auburn in Texas (3 point underdog)
Stanford- vs Notre Dame (4 point underdog)
USC- @Notre Dame (11 point underdog.) @BYU?

Washington State- nothing. @Houston?

Cal- @Ole Miss. Probable loss.
Colorado- vs. Nebraska. Probable loss.
Arizona- vs. Texas Tech. Coin flip?
UCLA- vs. Oklahoma. LOL.
ASU- @Michigan State. Probable loss.
OSU- vs Okie State. LOL.

I see lots of underdogs. The most even matchups are Zona-Tech, Cal-Miss, and ASU-MSU but 2/3 are on the road and NOC about the third.

Best chances for statement wins are Oregon vs Auburn, Stanford vs Notre Dame, and Colorado vs Nebraska but all are dogs.

Potential for disaster if BYU is good.
 
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