Against Stanford last year, Mickens was the leading receiver last year...he caught 9 balls and a 1 TD while Stringfellow didn't show up on the stat sheet.
Also last year, Montgomery beat us deep for a 39 yard TD pass but even worse, he returned a kickoff for 99 yards. So even if we assume Montgomery (or Cajuste) will get us deep once, I'd be willing to wager we don't give up a kickoff for a TD this year.
In terms of blocking, Stanford sacked Price 5 times last year. I'd also be willing to wager this year's OL and more mobile QB will give us less than that (especially if Riva plays).
The biggest thing in my mind is that we won't give up 31 points to Stanford again, especially at home. I don't believe their OL is as good as in the past few years and they only averaged 3.2 ypc against USC (Hogan carried the ball 11 times for just 24 yards while being sacked twice). I really like our front 7 and can't see Stanford trying to throw the ball 40 times in an attempt to exploit our young (except for Peters) secondary or going so far as to put 4 WRs on the field.
Stanford has 4 new starters on the OL (Andrus Peat is the only holdover), a new starting FB, a new starting TE, and new #1 and #2 RBs. We replaced our starting QB, TE, and RB but our #2 RB from last year is now starting (Washington) and we return all 5 starters on the OL (plus Criste and I anticipate Riva playing).
On D, while we replaced 3 of 4 starters in the secondary and put in Feeney for a departed Fuiamaono but our front 7 is essentially the same. On the other hand, we don't have to face Trent Murphy, Shayne Skov, and Ben Gardner again (FS Ed Reynolds and part-timer DE Josh Mauro were pretty good too).
My concerns going into the game is that Stanford dares us to beat them in the intermediate passing game and we can't because Miles is shaky and Ross doesn't play but I'm hoping that we work Daniels into the play-action / bootleg passing game and Ross is fine by Saturday.
It's going to be a heckuva game.
If our defense shows up and we don't give up any long bombs there is a chance to win. Unfortunately we will give up at least one long bomb and I don't think our offense will do anything against their defense.
Losing Price, Smith, ASJ, Stringfellow and Kasen not being 100% is huge. Mickens can't even stretch the cupcake teams vertically. The blocking is much worse. Last year it was great bc you had ASJ on the edge with Smith and Kasen who could spring Mickens. Also we no longer have Sankey, who was the best back in the country.
Last year we were riding high in front running Sark fashion and had our best performance of the year, almost beating a top 5 team on the road. It would have been the program's best win since 2000 Miami or 2002 WSU (as far as how good the opponent was).
Stanford lost a lot and we have home field but we really are a shell of that team and Stanford is mostly intact though not as good as they were. The front 7 has to step up and control the game and we need to win the turnover battle to have a realistic shot. It will be a similar game to 2012 but we don't have the game breakers like we had then to win that game. Ross is clearly not 100%.