At a certain point when does it become he is playing terrible vs he was playing completely out of his mind and has now leveled out?
He played completely out of his mind for the entirety of 2022, and then did so this year up until the ASU game. I'm inclined to believe that that's his steady state.
But I'm becoming more convinced that Grubb has designed an offense that is keyed on him playing with very little deviation from that elite play - throws across the field, supplemented by a high hit rate on downfield shots, and converting long third down conversions if the above didn't work - all of that became routine when the offense was humming.
You see this in the NFL pretty regularly - these high difficulty throws are necessary to beat the elite athletes that populate defensive rosters, and as a result even an MVP is going to have his handful of clunkers in a season where not everything is hitting. But you don't see this in college because defenses are vastly inferior and a Heisman level QB is still given plenty of easy completions with simple scheming - ala Bo Nix. For whatever reason Grubb has not given Penix this release valve, and an overwhelming amount of pressure has been put on him to play at 100% of his ability, where even a 99% performance will gum up the entire offense. And I think last night was the culmination of a long overdue meltdown from Mike.