MikeDamone
Well-known poster
The seat isn't going blue if either Kent or JBH wins. The idea that DIMS will vote JHB in the general isn't reality. She's not going to be rewarded for going against Trump. They'll vote DIM Perez because that's what DIMS do.
Dems won’t vote for JHB. I didn’t say they would. Independents and middle republicans will. Of which the 3rd is full of. What they won’t do is vote for Kent. The 3rd is purple and moderates tend to do well. The dem candidate hasn’t even campaigned yet. The supper pac money is going to pour in.
I know tons of people who voted for JHB but would never vote for Kent and will likely vote dem if that’s the choice.
You over estimate the power of Trump in the 3rd. There is a very loud and aggressive MAGA minority. But it’s not MAGA country. And yes, I know Trump beat Biden there.[/b]
This is not the voting record of a “de facto dem”.https://justfacts.votesmart.org/candidate/key-votes/101907/jaime-herrera-beutler
I’m not saying Kent CANT win. I’m saying if he does, the margin will be narrower than if JHB ran.
I think you're underselling the most recent hard data on the 3rd and how it votes. Trump beat Biden in the middle of the COVID bs and that was before massive inflation, the Afghanistan disaster, China bs, etc. Tell your RINO friends to shut up and sit this one out if they won't vote for Kent.
So many emotional sandy vag snowflakes about Kent. Jfc. You're all looking a lot like the Biden Bros
Imagine being trigged by someone saying a center republican will do better against a dem then a hard right republican in a purple district.
Imagine calling a corporatist a centrist and not expecting to get your shit pushed in like mello
Imagine getting a sandy vag and being an angry cunt someone suggests that the far right candidate won't do as well in the 3rd as the incumbent. Your dumb ass is acting like I'm going to die for the dem. Fuck off
@DerekJohnson is even being a cunt here as well. He's usually more measured and avoids emotional reasoning and logical fallacies. Seems like suggesting a far right platform won't appeal to a purple district is a bridge to far.
As I said. My friend who was spent 5 decades in GOP party leadership. Is an attorney (a real one) and handicaps elections as a hobby sates that given that Trump was +5 vs. Biden, he thinks Kent won't do as well against the dem but will still win. The dems are doing much better down ballot. And neither of them will hold their seat in 2026.
But I guess just stating that is a bitch move trying to appease. Some of you have lost your fucking minds.
Joe Kent isn’t Trump and isn’t far right. Trump lost the suburban white women in Vancouver. Kent won’t. His demeanor and delivery are much more palatable.
It may be close because PDX carpetbaggers keep flooding the area. I won’t be making any bold predictions for 2026.
The only person filled with emotion here seems to be you. You’ve attacked me for defending Kent and pointing out the smears against a honorable vet.
I’ve not come at you once. Take a breath man.
Why did you and lone star get upset and feel the need to "defend" Kent.
Whether or not he's far right isn't the question. That's the perception. He is widely seen here as just that. My original and main point is it will be a closer race if kent is the candidate. I'm not sure why that made some of you lose your shit to the point of saying if not Kent then you'd rather have then dem and lone star saying the dem would be a one term representative. Which is likely untrue looking at the past if the 3rd as well as future forecast.
I'll leave you with what my friend sent me. He's more knowledgeable than any one here about it.
View attachment 51060
View attachment 51061
View attachment 51062
Defending Kent against the smears of establishment GOP PAC's is getting upset? Come on man. By the tim Kent is running for his 3rd term, if he pulls this thing out, I'll be living in a reliable red state. Until then I want him as my Rep.
I've supported JHB in every campaign she's run except this one. Her vote for the J6th Committee helped to put a 69 y/o grandmother with cancer in prison for 2 months for walking into our Capitol. We're just supposed to ignore that? Naw. That's also why I defend Kent because he would have never cast that vote.
Yes. Upset. As in it stuck a nerve. My point isn't who you want or who I want. I'm just looking at the district demographics and tends and making some predictions. You're making an argument for Kent when that's not what the conversation is even about. Kent doesn't need to be defended here. My friend nailed it and I posted what he said. You got emotional and upset and started going on about Sark and 7-6. JFC.