That's actually my take as well. Don't see them beating Utah twice. Once, sure, if they have their shit together and AB makes some passes. Not twice.
Then again, I though Utah was going to beat them in the P12 CG and Oregon just manhandled them. But I do see them dropping at least one more. I don't see them dropping three.
I don't think Oregon loses either game. I think Washington State is their biggest threat. Utah and Oregon State have horrible passing games and are run heavy. Oregon actually stops the run fairly well. Washington State on the other hand, can exploit Oregon's weakness in the secondary.