EsophagealFeces
Well-known poster
OSU favored by 2 now. I love this shit. I’ve never bet on sports, but I’d moneyline the fuck out of UW with my life savings, except Vegas doesn’t take guns, ammo, or state employee pension IOUs.
Oregon State now favored
- Thread starter HuskyJW
- Start date
Tequilla
Active poster
Oregon St is really difficult to judge given their schedule to date ...
They've missed so far UW, Oregon, and USC ... the best offenses that they've played is some mix of Arizona, Wazzu, and Cal. Some might say Colorado but they are far from balanced. Arizona is probably the closest team they've played that has some expectation of being able to be balanced and Wazzu from an explosive standpoint in the passing game.
Wazzu: 29 of 35 for 422 in the passing game
Arizona: 25 of 32 for 275 passing
They've generally been good against the run but both Cal and UCLA gashed them on the ground so there's probably some opportunities there - particularly if they play some form of drop coverage.
There's a little more to go off of when looking at good defenses playing against Oregon St in looking at the Utah, UCLA, and Arizona defenses. Utah slowed them fairly significantly whereas they had some decent success against UCLA and Arizona. The key with slowing down Oregon St is limiting the big plays in the passing game as they lead the conference (conference games only) in yards per completion - when they hit they hit for big plays. Accuracy is a significant problem though as they've only been hit at over 60% in completion percentage in 3 of the 7 conference games and the only game materially over 60% being against Cal and EVERYBODY throws against Cal.
Our sloppiness on D giving up big plays the last 2 weeks is a concern, but generally speaking, one of the strengths of our defense has been in limiting big plays. If we can get back to that formula against the Beavs, we should be able to slow them down a fair amount. On offense, I don't really see a statistical area where I see Oregon St being a material concern ... probably the closest comparable is Arizona and we generally moved the ball with relative ease against them. One area that the Beavs do excel is in creating turnovers so we'll have to continue to be sharp.
My sense is that if we have our shit together, we should be fine. The gaps in their secondary to me paint the picture of them having to pick their poison and we just need to be willing to take what they give.
They've missed so far UW, Oregon, and USC ... the best offenses that they've played is some mix of Arizona, Wazzu, and Cal. Some might say Colorado but they are far from balanced. Arizona is probably the closest team they've played that has some expectation of being able to be balanced and Wazzu from an explosive standpoint in the passing game.
Wazzu: 29 of 35 for 422 in the passing game
Arizona: 25 of 32 for 275 passing
They've generally been good against the run but both Cal and UCLA gashed them on the ground so there's probably some opportunities there - particularly if they play some form of drop coverage.
There's a little more to go off of when looking at good defenses playing against Oregon St in looking at the Utah, UCLA, and Arizona defenses. Utah slowed them fairly significantly whereas they had some decent success against UCLA and Arizona. The key with slowing down Oregon St is limiting the big plays in the passing game as they lead the conference (conference games only) in yards per completion - when they hit they hit for big plays. Accuracy is a significant problem though as they've only been hit at over 60% in completion percentage in 3 of the 7 conference games and the only game materially over 60% being against Cal and EVERYBODY throws against Cal.
Our sloppiness on D giving up big plays the last 2 weeks is a concern, but generally speaking, one of the strengths of our defense has been in limiting big plays. If we can get back to that formula against the Beavs, we should be able to slow them down a fair amount. On offense, I don't really see a statistical area where I see Oregon St being a material concern ... probably the closest comparable is Arizona and we generally moved the ball with relative ease against them. One area that the Beavs do excel is in creating turnovers so we'll have to continue to be sharp.
My sense is that if we have our shit together, we should be fine. The gaps in their secondary to me paint the picture of them having to pick their poison and we just need to be willing to take what they give.
PostGameOrangeSlices
Well-known poster
He wishes his precious Cal was like UW
insinceredawg
New Fish
Weren't the Cougs favored in the snowy Apple Cup in 2018?
HairyBallsDawg
New Fish
Since this is just based on betting ratios, I think there is a chance that some of those placing bets got confused about which OSU the Huskies are playing. Lots of cfb fans east of the Rockies don't even know there are two OSUs.
I should have been more specific. See Catgut's post. You left out the part about Ohio State being undefeated. But touche' nonetheless.
thank you
Dude... It's supposed to be "with the burning intensity of a thousand suns"... not passionate suns. Stars are not passionate. Trust me. You're not in outer space like I am. You aren't in position to know.
PurpleReign
New Fish
Lol at betters 5 reasoning themselves
How bizarre would it be to see a headline, "Fifth-ranked Huskies Upset Beavers to Stay Undefeated"
Penix Pounds Beavers so Hard the Dam Explodes
AtomicDawg
New Fish
Dawgs Penix Pounds Beavers with Late Push
EsophagealFeces
Well-known poster
Line is OSU -2.5 now. Free money. UW isn’t losing this game.
Let's not forget that this isn't even their super bowl. The week after they play a top 10 ducks team for the last time as conference foes which imo should take up a huge portion of their grease.
Not that it matters because a top 5 UW is not losing to Beav
Not that it matters because a top 5 UW is not losing to Beav