NorthwestFresh
New Fish
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OFFICIAL Biden-Harris Campaign Thread
- Thread starter DerekJohnson
- Start date
Oy! Oy! Oy!
NorthwestFresh
New Fish
Pitchfork51
Active poster
It's shocking to see his decline. Is he seriously going to debate trump?
Such tuff questions
incremetal_progress
New Fish
https://twitter.com/PpollingNumbers/status/1303340935489740806
I do not believe Biden will actually win Ohio, but the fact that this state is even in play right now after Trump carried it by 8 is pretty remarkable, let alone a Biden lead.
Biden's clearest path to 270 appears to be carrying all of Hillary;s states, Wisconsin, Michigan, Arizona and flipping either ME-2 or NE-2. That would mean he doesn't even need NC, PA, or FL which are more toss ups.
I do not believe Biden will actually win Ohio, but the fact that this state is even in play right now after Trump carried it by 8 is pretty remarkable, let alone a Biden lead.
Biden's clearest path to 270 appears to be carrying all of Hillary;s states, Wisconsin, Michigan, Arizona and flipping either ME-2 or NE-2. That would mean he doesn't even need NC, PA, or FL which are more toss ups.
Counter point
https://www.foxnews.com/politics/media-not-portraying-trumps-gains-mollie-hemingway
The most recent Fox News poll in Wisconsin – conducted a week ago – indicated the former vice president with an 8-point lead over Trump among likely voters. An average of all the most recent public opinion surveys compiled by Real Car Politics shows a slightly closer contest, with Biden ahead of the president by 4.4 points.
Clinton led Trump by 5.3 points according to Real Clear Politics Average in Wisconsin on this date four years ago. The final average on the eve of the 2016 election indicated Clinton topping Trump by 6.5 points – before Trump slightly edged the Democratic nominee by seven-tenths of a percent.[/b]
Nobody
Knows
Nothing
https://www.foxnews.com/politics/media-not-portraying-trumps-gains-mollie-hemingway
The most recent Fox News poll in Wisconsin – conducted a week ago – indicated the former vice president with an 8-point lead over Trump among likely voters. An average of all the most recent public opinion surveys compiled by Real Car Politics shows a slightly closer contest, with Biden ahead of the president by 4.4 points.
Clinton led Trump by 5.3 points according to Real Clear Politics Average in Wisconsin on this date four years ago. The final average on the eve of the 2016 election indicated Clinton topping Trump by 6.5 points – before Trump slightly edged the Democratic nominee by seven-tenths of a percent.[/b]
Nobody
Knows
Nothing
Isn't voter intensity the hardest thing to predict in polling? Not suggesting a Trump win, but Trump is still packing them in by the thousands, meanwhile, back in the basement complex, Bidens is drawing sometimes dozens to hear his ramblings.
In 2016 the Trump rallies were downplayed as an indicator of voter enthusiasm. In 2020 the rallies were eliminated. #Math #Science
incremetal_progress
New Fish
I don't believe Biden is gonna win the state in the end, but I do believe if fricking Rasmussen has Trump down 4 points in Ohio right now he is in trouble.
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incremetal_progress
New Fish
in 2016 the polls in Wisconsin, Michigan, etc. were consistently to the left of the national average by 2-3 points. They ended up being about 3 points to the right of the national average as Hillary won nationally by 2 and lost those Midwest states by 0-1%. Now the polls show about a 7-8 Biden lead so he's probably up 4-5 points in those states which is pretty much where the polls are.
They were 6.5 points off the day before the election in Wisconsin
https://twitter.com/EricTrump/status/1303288007357796353?s=20
Google and others stooping to new lows.
Google and others stooping to new lows.
greenblood
New Fish
The silent vote is larger this year than in 2016. Polls are meaningless in the volatile state we are in today. The polls are Trump’s floor not his actual number.
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