Net worth down 25% / Fuck you EverettChris Thread

I think Trump is attempting to "walk down" the stock market with these tariffs.
He doesn't want it to tank 55% suddenly in a handful of months and break a bunch of things in the economy, so he's manufacturing a problem.
He's going to take the market down to the 40 week moving average, which is around 4700-4800 on the S&P 500…that's the next major support level. Then he'll attempt to stagnate it there for a few years. The stock market down 20-25% will also have obvious deflationary effects.
The S&P 500 should be closer to 3000, than 6200.

The Shiller PE ratio should be under 20 in a safe to buy stocks market. It's at 37 right now.

He also needs 30 year Treasury rates to go as low as possible, because a ton load of 30 year bonds need to be renewed this year. So he wants to tank the economy to get the Fed to lower rates down to 3.5% again, otherwise his deficits are going to look terrible in the next few years.

I think he'll keep these tariffs alive until he hits that bear market area under 5000 on the S&P 500 for the psychological spending effects.

Shiller PE Ratio - Multpl
 
DerekJohnson said:
The price of gold went down today. The MSM wanted to foment a panic but failed. In the intermediate to long run things are going to be really good.
Click to expand...
Yeah that sucked. I am a fan of gold and want it to the moon.
 
priapism said:
I think Trump is attempting to "walk down" the stock market with these tariffs.
He doesn't want it to tank 55% suddenly in a handful of months and break a bunch of things in the economy, so he's manufacturing a problem.
He's going to take the market down to the 40 week moving average, which is around 4700-4800 on the S&P 500…that's the next major support level. Then he'll attempt to stagnate it there for a few years. The stock market down 20-25% will also have obvious deflationary effects.
The S&P 500 should be closer to 3000, than 6200.

The Shiller PE ratio should be under 20 in a safe to buy stocks market. It's at 37 right now.

He also needs 30 year Treasury rates to go as low as possible, because a ton load of 30 year bonds need to be renewed this year. So he wants to tank the economy to get the Fed to lower rates down to 3.5% again, otherwise his deficits are going to look terrible in the next few years.

I think he'll keep these tariffs alive until he hits that bear market area under 5000 on the S&P 500 for the psychological spending effects.

Shiller PE Ratio - Multpl
Click to expand...
Reasonable take re bond markets but I think it's wrong to think he's using tariffs to tank the market.
Trade policy was and is a priority to him. Scott Besent already let the cat out of the bag regarding the end goal being free trade.
I think he does view low baseline tariffs as an alternative to income tax(for lower incomes). I'm fine with that as a trade off.
 
The bond market is far more important to his term’s economic success than the stock market. Which is why the OP is way over his skis in terms understanding anything.
 
@Bob_C

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AOG said:
My portfolio is down 15% since the idiotic "Liberation Day"
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You lost more than that just to inflation. But voting multiple times for a criminal syndicate was the schmart thing to do. Do you still agree with that?
 
Whew look at those investment accounts and your 401ks folks!!!! Timberrrrrrrrrr

Hope none of you were planning to retire in the next few years! Man what a shame it would be if EverettChris ran out of retiement money!!! I’d know I’d weep knowing he made the right logical decisions in life!!!!
 
HuskyBuck said:
Whew look at those investment accounts and your 401ks folks!!!! Timberrrrrrrrrr

Hope none of you were planning to retire in the next few years! Man what a shame it would be if EverettChris ran out of retiement money!!! I’d know I’d weep knowing he made the right logical decisions in life!!!!
Click to expand...
My ORLY is higher than ever.
 
Hope none of you Gen Z's are stuck with 0 hard assets or alternative forms of income beyond being a pretend investment guru. That would definitely suck ass.
 
HuskyBuck said:
Whew look at those investment accounts and your 401ks folks!!!! Timberrrrrrrrrr

Hope none of you were planning to retire in the next few years! Man what a shame it would be if EverettChris ran out of retiement money!!! I’d know I’d weep knowing he made the right logical decisions in life!!!!
Click to expand...
My net worth is up. Sounds like you need to learn to invest and adapt.
 
HuskyBuck said:
Whew look at those investment accounts and your 401ks folks!!!! Timberrrrrrrrrr

Hope none of you were planning to retire in the next few years! Man what a shame it would be if EverettChris ran out of retiement money!!! I’d know I’d weep knowing he made the right logical decisions in life!!!!
Click to expand...
If you were retiring in the next few years you should be in stocks that are less volatile
 
UW_Doog_Bot said:
priapism said:
I think Trump is attempting to "walk down" the stock market with these tariffs.
He doesn't want it to tank 55% suddenly in a handful of months and break a bunch of things in the economy, so he's manufacturing a problem.
He's going to take the market down to the 40 week moving average, which is around 4700-4800 on the S&P 500…that's the next major support level. Then he'll attempt to stagnate it there for a few years. The stock market down 20-25% will also have obvious deflationary effects.
The S&P 500 should be closer to 3000, than 6200.

The Shiller PE ratio should be under 20 in a safe to buy stocks market. It's at 37 right now.

He also needs 30 year Treasury rates to go as low as possible, because a ton load of 30 year bonds need to be renewed this year. So he wants to tank the economy to get the Fed to lower rates down to 3.5% again, otherwise his deficits are going to look terrible in the next few years.

I think he'll keep these tariffs alive until he hits that bear market area under 5000 on the S&P 500 for the psychological spending effects.

Shiller PE Ratio - Multpl
Click to expand...
Reasonable take re bond markets but I think it's wrong to think he's using tariffs to tank the market.
Trade policy was and is a priority to him. Scott Besent already let the cat out of the bag regarding the end goal being free trade.
I think he does view low baseline tariffs as an alternative to income tax(for lower incomes). I'm fine with that as a trade off.
Click to expand...
Trump just posted this vid himself:
I guess I was right.

Trump Shares Video About How He Is ‘Purposely Crashing the Stock Market’
 
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