You're an idiot Boobs ...
Aubbie moves the goalposts in large part because he can't stand being accountable for what he says ... he's the kind of the "I was right IF this, that, and everything else happened" line of thinking.
On the other hand, someone like me will make a prediction, own the prediction, yet be willing to update their prediction if/when there is further evidence that provides reason to reconsider.
Everybody fucks something up from time to time. The biggest mistake isn't the original fuck up ... it's continuing to insist that either you didn't fuck up or blaming other things for causing the fuck up.