Unfortunately Lake is getting hammered in the populous counties. Kinda like Oregon and Drazen. And if you look County by county, there are no big drops coming.
https://www.azcentral.com/elections...&itm_medium=news&itm_campaign=electionresults
Projecting remaining votes has shifted from looking at remaining county results to projecting what forms of votes remain. It's a sad reality for our democracy.
Not everyone in Maricopa Co. is a DIM.
No they are not, but believing that the outstanding vote is going be made up of voters that is significantly different than the voter makeup of the county as whole is pretty dumb.
You're missing the fact that what's left is predominantly mail-in ballots handed in on election day in Maricopa/Pima. That same pool brought Kari over the line and then some in the primary. That same pool was pretty strongly Trump in 2020 in the end. What appears to be mostly left are outlying ring of areas around Phoenix, not Phoenix itself, which are far more red than the center of the ring. That's just reality.
What's dumb is using the old techniques of projecting what's to come off of generic averages of what's been counted, especially when the counted averages are skewed in one direction because of timing.