Clearly there's going to be busts from good states and guys that are going to rise up from the middle of nowhere. In fact, I'm pretty sure that I said as much.
My point being that you have more evidence with good players from good states as to knowing whether they have the ability to rise up at competition levels or not.
And yes, you are absolutely right, part of good recruiting is being able to understand how much more you can get out of a player and then having the ability to get that talent out of them.
Water is wet. Your posts are basically saying there is better talent in CA and Texas than Washington. I'm not sure what your point is.