I'm still picking Miami to three peat. The few teams who did three-peat looked dicey during the regular season.
In the NBA historically the best player on the court wins the titles. So if it isn't Miami it's going to be OKC. I know APAG will bring up 2011 Dallas but they are the exception not the rule and actually in that finals series they did have the best player on the court due to Lebron disappearing.
The Heat is all about Wade's health which is a big mystery. However, with the east being such a fucking dreckfest Spoelstra can manage Wade/Lebron's minutes the rest of the season as they are basically a lock for at worst the #2 seed.
With the East being a dreckfest you can rest Wade the first two rounds of the playoffs. I'm sure Wade will play but he'll sit like a game four when up 3-0 and won't break 35 minutes in any of those contests. So he'll be well rested for the grueling series against the Pacers which will be a war.
While in the West the Spurs if the season ended today would face Phoenix, then Houston-Dallas winner then OKC which is a grind by the time they make it to the finals.
