acwai
New Fish
Whenever a lower-ranked team is listed as the favorite, they often end up covering the spread. This usually suggests that bookmakers have information or insights—such as undisclosed injuries or internal team issues—not yet reflected in public news or rankings.
For example, when Washington (UW) was favored by 3 points at game time, it indicated confidence from the oddsmakers, and UW ultimately covered and won.
This week, Texas is favored by 1 point against Vanderbilt, which suggests that Texas should win the game. Similarly, Utah is favored by 8½ points over Cincinnati, so Utah is expected to win as well.
Of course, this trend is not a guarantee that lower-ranked favorites will always win, but it often reveals that oddsmakers’ evaluations differ from public rankings and may more accurately reflect each team’s true strength.
For example, when Washington (UW) was favored by 3 points at game time, it indicated confidence from the oddsmakers, and UW ultimately covered and won.
This week, Texas is favored by 1 point against Vanderbilt, which suggests that Texas should win the game. Similarly, Utah is favored by 8½ points over Cincinnati, so Utah is expected to win as well.
Of course, this trend is not a guarantee that lower-ranked favorites will always win, but it often reveals that oddsmakers’ evaluations differ from public rankings and may more accurately reflect each team’s true strength.
