How Hard is UW's Schedule in 2026?

WoolleyDoog

Swaye's Wigwam
Swaye's Wigwam
Founder's Club
Looking back on the draft and the 2025 season, UW and Judd really botched the chance to have a fake breakout season. 2026 looks tougher on paper for now and we will be relying on a lot of talent that looks legit, but is really young. I don't think getting to 10-2 as a realistic goal is crazy though. Here's how the schedule looks starting with games easiest to hardest to me.

Eastiest

1. Eastern Washington - Easy W - I used to be scared shitless of playing the Eags and hated scheduling them because you were playing a team that was a ton of local guys who dreamed of a UW offer but seems like they are dead.

2. Utah State - Easy W - Seems like this program has sucked for years now.

3. Coug - Easy W - They should be significantly shittier this year and we beat them by like 30 in Pullman last year.

4. Minnesota - W - I know very little about this team right now but they feel like the kind of team this kind of UW team beats in Seattle by 10+.

5. at Purdue - W - I could see this being a little trickier on the road and like a Maryland game if Purdue improves, but still 10+, no excuses.

6. Iowa - W - The first game I think should approach challenge territory. They lost a massive amount from last year and the last couple years though and are the type of team UW should beat in Seattle, no problems.

7. at Michigan State - W, but the first I'm worried about - This is a trap game like Wisconsin last year - November in East Lansing against a team that should improved and a historically tough program. It's surrounded by big games.

8. at Nebraska - W, but a challenge - I might be more worried about Sparty actually. There's nothing on paper to be scared about here other than name brand and being on the road. We also have a bye before it.

9. Penn State - W, another trap game though - Penn State coming all the way out here and getting a win with the projected team they have doesn't seem likely but Campbell brought a lot of experienced try hards with him so you have to be careful.

10. at USC - W, if we're any good - This is a good early litmus test. This isn't the USC of old. They're somewhat talented but soft and this isn't a big homefield advantage. Big show me game for Judd.

11. Indiana - Expected L, but murky - Indiana has a nice chunk of good players from last year returning with good portal additions and Cig. They're the kind of team UW hasn't been able to stay with yet under Judd, but they have question marks and are coming across the country in November.

12. at Oregon - Expected L, hard to predict otherwise - This is a tough one and makes Demond and Judd fucking the dawg against a beatable Oregon team at home last year even more frustrating.
 
We? will 100% lose at least one of the 3 road games against Sparty, Classy Nebraska, and Trooj. I won't be surprised if they lose two of those.

Indiana will probably win because of coaching and Oregon has more talent and it's a road game.

I think a clear #1 running back needs to emerge before they get to the middle of the season if they're going to compete on the road. I don't trust the midget to not shit his pants.
 
-Michigan State will not roll over because Fitzgerald is a lot tougher than Smiff but that meathead picked Nick Sheridan as OC. The same Nick Sheridan that was TE coach at UW, was the Indiana OC after Boner left for Fresno and was fired for driving that offense off a cliff, was the OC for Bama after Grubb left for the Seahawks and had the Bama fan base clamoring for a change. He's not good. The further away from Boner he gets, the worse he is, check out those Indiana stats if you're curious. Road woes aside, UW logistics has been to East Lansing before, this will be a cake walk. UW 31 MSU 10

-Minnesota under Fleck is decent, not great. The offense is usually short on playmakers and if they can't shove the ball down your throat then they usually have no shot to win. At Minnesota this would be close to a toss up, in Seattle, UW should easily win by 10+ UW 35 Minnesota 14

- Nebraska should be a win. Memorial Stadium is tough but the fans are tired of losing and if UW jumps on the home team they'll turn on the boys in red. Rhule is in year 4 and hasn't been able to get the engine humming. Three years without at least getting to Bo Pelini 9 win level in this day and age is a bad sign. It's a road game against a desperate coach which muddies the waters. I like the Walters v Holgerson match though. UW 27 Nebraska 16

-USC can score, they have great athletes but, UW's team strength is defense. Also, if you think UW's WR group is unproven, wait until you see USC's. Williams has faults but so does Maiava. If he were playing for UCLA instead of USC he wouldn't be as hyped as he is. I think the hiring of former TCU head coach Gary Patterson, although sounding good on the surface was a miscalculation in real life. His last handful of TCU teams were not good defensively. He's not young, he's not fit and if things go even a little sideways he might start asking himself WTF he's doing in LA. I think Judd and UW's offense can exploit him and his group of soft LA, Lincoln Riley run talent. I feel pretty good about this game. UW 31 USC 24

-Penn State is full of B12 talent. A lot of their B10 talent is playing in Blacksburg or at other B10 blue bloods or in the SEC. They are flying across the country and coming to Seattle. UW wins this game because the talent of the two teams is similar IMO to the UW v Illinois game last year. Judd should beat these guys by 10 plus in a low scoring, low possession slugfest. UW 20 PSU 9

-If this version of UW plays Iowa in Iowa City they are probably losing by 10+ but Iowa is coming here and that program doesn't win on the west coast. Ever. UW by 10+. UW 28 Iowa 17

-Indiana has superior coaching but no one knows how they'll look until the new roster is rolled out. They come across the country and if it's more like the 2024 version of Indiana then UW has a punchers chance. If Cigarette comes to town with an outfit as greased up and together as the 2025 version they have no shot. They've lost the JMU group that had an edge and belief to them. Now these new transfer guys are the champs, how does the crown fit?
2024 type Indiana 17 UW 21
2025 type Indiana 27 UW 17

-My only hope with Oregon is that the new OC is a downgrade. On the road and with their talent it may not matter. Let's play the game and see what happens. Oregon 31 UW 17

10 wins is there if Judd is good enough. I'm not sure he is but I'm excited to see how it all unfolds.
 
We? will 100% lose at least one of the 3 road games against Sparty, Classy Nebraska, and Trooj. I won't be surprised if they lose two of those.

Indiana will probably win because of coaching and Oregon has more talent and it's a road game.

I think a clear #1 running back needs to emerge before they get to the middle of the season if they're going to compete on the road. I don't trust the midget to not shit his pants.
Yeah, I doubt they get out of those 3 road games unscathed and it will be accomplishment to not lose two. A lot of this stuff depends on how teams pan out and timing too. Sparty could be a team that gets better as the season goes and USC a team that quits later but is still into it when they play UW early. Hard to predict that shit.

Indiana feels like one of those top-tier teams that will lose to other top-tier teams but not to someone like UW. I'll write off ORegon as a loss forever until UW actually wins.
 
-Michigan State will not roll over because Fitzgerald is a lot tougher than Smiff but that meathead picked Nick Sheridan as OC. The same Nick Sheridan that was TE coach at UW, was the Indiana OC after Boner left for Fresno and was fired for driving that offense off a cliff, was the OC for Bama after Grubb left for the Seahawks and had the Bama fan base clamoring for a change. He's not good. The further away from Boner he gets, the worse he is, check out those Indiana stats if you're curious. Road woes aside, UW logistics has been to East Lansing before, this will be a cake walk. UW 31 MSU 10

-Minnesota under Fleck is decent, not great. The offense is usually short on playmakers and if they can't shove the ball down your throat then they usually have no shot to win. At Minnesota this would be close to a toss up, in Seattle, UW should easily win by 10+ UW 35 Minnesota 14

- Nebraska should be a win. Memorial Stadium is tough but the fans are tired of losing and if UW jumps on the home team they'll turn on the boys in red. Rhule is in year 4 and hasn't been able to get the engine humming. Three years without at least getting to Bo Pelini 9 win level in this day and age is a bad sign. It's a road game against a desperate coach which muddies the waters. I like the Walters v Holgerson match though. UW 27 Nebraska 16

-USC can score, they have great athletes but, UW's team strength is defense. Also, if you think UW's WR group is unproven, wait until you see USC's. Williams has faults but so does Maiava. If he were playing for UCLA instead of USC he wouldn't be as hyped as he is. I think the hiring of former TCU head coach Gary Patterson, although sounding good on the surface was a miscalculation in real life. His last handful of TCU teams were not good defensively. He's not young, he's not fit and if things go even a little sideways he might start asking himself WTF he's doing in LA. I think Judd and UW's offense can exploit him and his group of soft LA, Lincoln Riley run talent. I feel pretty good about this game. UW 31 USC 24

-Penn State is full of B12 talent. A lot of their B10 talent is playing in Blacksburg or at other B10 blue bloods or in the SEC. They are flying across the country and coming to Seattle. UW wins this game because the talent of the two teams is similar IMO to the UW v Illinois game last year. Judd should beat these guys by 10 plus in a low scoring, low possession slugfest. UW 20 PSU 9

-If this version of UW plays Iowa in Iowa City they are probably losing by 10+ but Iowa is coming here and that program doesn't win on the west coast. Ever. UW by 10+. UW 28 Iowa 17

-Indiana has superior coaching but no one knows how they'll look until the new roster is rolled out. They come across the country and if it's more like the 2024 version of Indiana then UW has a punchers chance. If Cigarette comes to town with an outfit as greased up and together as the 2025 version they have no shot. They've lost the JMU group that had an edge and belief to them. Now these new transfer guys are the champs, how does the crown fit?
2024 type Indiana 17 UW 21
2025 type Indiana 27 UW 17

-My only hope with Oregon is that the new OC is a downgrade. On the road and with their talent it may not matter. Let's play the game and see what happens. Oregon 31 UW 17

10 wins is there if Judd is good enough. I'm not sure he is but I'm excited to see how it all unfolds.
This all feels very spot on. Agree that Maiava feels a bit overrated because he's at USC and he had great WRs to work with last year. He has looked like a Demond who racks it up against crappy defenses but has been mediocre in the big games. That might be a must win game to have any kind of big season.

I think Iowa might be a bit overrated. Feels like they've been one of the most-experienced and proven teams in the country out side of QB the past two years and they are not a team built to reload on the fly. They could be down this year.

I think equal or lesser to last year's Illinois team is a great way to categorize a lot of Big 10 teams below the Ohio State, Oregon, (sometimes) Michigan level most years and a UW team that has their shit together should beat those teams in Seattle, every year.

QB is what to watch at Indiana. They shouldn't be as strong as they were in 2025 and we've seen a lot of these veteran transfer QBs just be ok and if their TCU guy is that they are potentially beatable in Seattle.

Oregon should be better than they were in 2025 in 2026 and UW couldn't keep it within one score. I don't think UW will be able to close that gap this year, especially on the road, but the goal is to come into that game 10-1 so you'll already be at that marker. 10-2 without a win over Oregon probably isnt' enough to get UW into the playoff though.
 
Fitzgerald feels like another flop for them.

I only have dooging for Oregon but it isn't completely illogical that a few factors people are downplaying leads to a handful of losses this year. Including a potential 2022-like loss to the Combat DaWgs
 
It is awesome to see the unFettered dooging building during the off season. Jedd will get us close to where we want and where we should expect to be.

When the schedule first came out, I liked the way it fell - even with the toughest two games on the last two weekends. I don't mind Indiana at home (we won't win but still.....) but I hate 0regon in Eugene. Those are the only guaranteed losses.

We will almost certainly lose one of the @USC, @Nebraska or vs Pedo State games. Perhaps include Iowa in there if Jedd wants to drop one inexcusably.

We need to keep the losses from that second group to one or Jedd won't ever likely us where we need to be. I resent the hell outta him for not giving up play calling because that will likely be his undoing at the UW. The B1G aint the (former) WAC and he is no longer in Kansas (Arizona) anymore.
 
I WANT to believe that this team can win 10 games, but I don't. Jedd has yet to beat team that has similar or superior talent. That speaks to a lack of coaching and scheme. If we have more talent, we win the game. We also have big time road struggles.

Unfortunately, I think we're headed for 8-4 again this year. After the season, Jedd will do a media campaign and talk about how much closer all of our losses were than last year, he'll talk about how much bigger we need to get and we're making progress, he'll talk about how YOUNG WE ARE. Excuses.

I continue to believe that Jedd can identify and develop individual talent, but I don't believe in his game-planning, play calling, and game day coaching. Not until he wins one he shouldn't
 
It could have been a mini breakout season if we just beat Wisconsin, but Jedd gonna Jedd.

Jedd sucks on the road until he doesn't. He has 1 road win outside of the Pacific Time zone in 2 years, requiring a 20 point comeback against a team which did not win a game the rest of the year.

The good news is he has 2 Pacific Time zone road games. The bad news is they are against better programs than Cuog and UCLA. Purdue, MSU, Nebraska, we should be better than them. But we should have been better than Wisconsin and Rutgers which he managed to lose to.

I think overall 2026 is a harder schedule but not significantly.
 
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