You think UW beats the spread @Tequilla ?
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Tequilla
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I think UW has a really good chance to win the game straight up
The top 2 RBs for Ohio St have not shown any kind of game breaking ability to date … it would seem like their 3rd string true-freshman (Bo Jackson) has the game breaking ability but not sure that he's getting enough non-garbage time snaps to be super threatening.
Through 3 games the UW defense is giving up 2.4 yards per carry so while the DL may not have any true elite difference makers there is a strength in numbers approach that allows the DL to maximize their effort on each play.
The key defensively is to win on early downs in the run game and now allow Ohio St to take pressure off of the young QB. While there is risk in asking the QB to beat you given the elite WR talent that they have, the path to beating Ohio St is forcing Sayin to make plays in the passing game (for UW in favorable down/distance situations). It's also obviously easier said than done but Ohio St is heavily dependent on their 2 WRs as they account for over 50% of their total completions and nobody else on the roster has more than 4 catches in 3 games.
The offense will score some points … too much talent at different levels to not put the Ohio St defense in some difficult situations. I suspect that the Ohio St game plan is going to be bringing pressure, forcing Demond to stay inside the pocket, and trying to take away his run game. The challenge with this is Demond's accuracy and being able to take advantage of what should be a lot of single coverage. I suspect that this becomes a very big game for the TEs … notably DeGraaf.
This Ohio St team is a very good team. I don't think they are the #1 team in the country good. I don't think by Ohio St standards that this is an elite team of theirs.
The top 2 RBs for Ohio St have not shown any kind of game breaking ability to date … it would seem like their 3rd string true-freshman (Bo Jackson) has the game breaking ability but not sure that he's getting enough non-garbage time snaps to be super threatening.
Through 3 games the UW defense is giving up 2.4 yards per carry so while the DL may not have any true elite difference makers there is a strength in numbers approach that allows the DL to maximize their effort on each play.
The key defensively is to win on early downs in the run game and now allow Ohio St to take pressure off of the young QB. While there is risk in asking the QB to beat you given the elite WR talent that they have, the path to beating Ohio St is forcing Sayin to make plays in the passing game (for UW in favorable down/distance situations). It's also obviously easier said than done but Ohio St is heavily dependent on their 2 WRs as they account for over 50% of their total completions and nobody else on the roster has more than 4 catches in 3 games.
The offense will score some points … too much talent at different levels to not put the Ohio St defense in some difficult situations. I suspect that the Ohio St game plan is going to be bringing pressure, forcing Demond to stay inside the pocket, and trying to take away his run game. The challenge with this is Demond's accuracy and being able to take advantage of what should be a lot of single coverage. I suspect that this becomes a very big game for the TEs … notably DeGraaf.
This Ohio St team is a very good team. I don't think they are the #1 team in the country good. I don't think by Ohio St standards that this is an elite team of theirs.
Here is my $100 bet for the week ~ a parlay that pays +650 and I personally think that Oregon wins the game, Georgia wins by at least a touchdown and my desire would have been to get 10 vs the Buckies but i still think the +8 is a winner. I haven't lost on a bet this year (6 for 6) and this is probably a reach because of Washington but we will see obviously.
Comment on Washington ~ the offense will score unlike Texas that offered minimal QB big plays but I'm not a believer in our ability to handle the line of scrimmage defensively and our defensive backfield is thin [much less the line backing crew] so the dawgs could get shredded. This is really a bet on what Im guessing is a better UW offense and enough bandaids and a few big plays defensively to keep the game within a touchdown to enable a shot for a what seems like Husky Magic in the 4th quarter.
Football College Football - 195 Oregon +3 Ev for Game Sep 27 07:30 PM EST -Football College Football - 198 Georgia -3 -110 for Game Sep 27 03:30 PM EST -Football College Football - 202 Washington +8 -110 for Game
Comment on Washington ~ the offense will score unlike Texas that offered minimal QB big plays but I'm not a believer in our ability to handle the line of scrimmage defensively and our defensive backfield is thin [much less the line backing crew] so the dawgs could get shredded. This is really a bet on what Im guessing is a better UW offense and enough bandaids and a few big plays defensively to keep the game within a touchdown to enable a shot for a what seems like Husky Magic in the 4th quarter.
Football College Football - 195 Oregon +3 Ev for Game Sep 27 07:30 PM EST -Football College Football - 198 Georgia -3 -110 for Game Sep 27 03:30 PM EST -Football College Football - 202 Washington +8 -110 for Game
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I’ve thought the same when watching Ohio State RB’s. I don’t think they are incredibly explosive outside of Smith.
I am worried about our OL. I’m also worried about WR. I’m not sure we have the playmakers to beat Ohio State at this point.
I think the crowd and hopefully Tacario playing limits Ohio State from making big plays. It’s going to be tough, but I think we have a decent chance. I think we cover the 9.5.
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creepycoug
Well-known poster
This Buck team is junior varsity compared to that Miami team. Just because I'm biased doesn't mean I'm wrong.
I haven't thought through how this UW team compares to 2k. The 2000 UW team had a underrated defense IMO and while Demond is exciting there aren't that many QBs I'd take over Tui to win a college football game, and Demond isn't one of them (yet). You also had Stevens and a road grader O line back then.
So, I think safe to say that Miami 2K was way better than 2025 Buck and 2000 UW was somewhat or more better than 2026 UW.
So, yeah. Whatever that rambling means. I don't see / expect UW winning but I do see them covering and wouldn't be shocked at all with a win. This Buck team does not look anything like post-Michigan 2024 Buck.
Still don't like Oregon at PSU. Something tells me that's not going to be a good afternoon for them. Then again they may have been holding back some against their opponents up until now and maybe Moore is capable of more. They are super careful running him just as they were with the short guy last year (which made no sense to me). Dangerous Oregon is QB running Oregon. I don't see Moore beating them just from the pocket and can't quite tell if Oregon will be able to run on Pedo. I say Pedo wins that one by 10 or 13. Cook it.
That 2000 Miami team was loaded and many of their underclassmen were the heart and soul of their championship team. They 100% came in way over confident and they had no idea the power of Husky Stadium and a juiced up crowd and atmosphere.
If UW pulls the upset Saturday it will be a great win, bigger than beating Miami in 2000? Not in my book
Nothing beats a greased up Husky Stadium.
This year's Ohio State isn't in the same stratosphere as 2000 Miami. Neither was last year's Ohio State team. Highest of bars though. Gotta be one of the best/most talented teams to not win a national championship. You're welcome.
00 UW defense is almost assuredly much tougher than 2025. We had killers back then. I'll give the nod to 00 offense until proven otherwise. Big dominant OL with a lot of continuity, Stevens, and of course Tui.
00 UW defense is almost assuredly much tougher than 2025. We had killers back then. I'll give the nod to 00 offense until proven otherwise. Big dominant OL with a lot of continuity, Stevens, and of course Tui.
The more interested Ohio State is in the game, the bigger the final score will be in their favor.
We couldn't run between tackles vs WSU, we have a route tree of 1 wr, and Demond has taken 6/7 bad sacks against a average FCS Defense and two lower 1/4 FCS defense ie of 138 D1/D2 schools WSU and UC Davis are in the 110's and lower on that side of the ball.
On D we can't get any pressure with 4 let alone 3 and at LB we are beyond critically thin. If Davis doesn't play this week, Jermiah Smith, Tate, and the rest of thier wr's will be as open as Evans was Saturday when Jedd ran it up end of game Saturday from snap 1
We will know pretty early in the game how it's going to go.
We couldn't run between tackles vs WSU, we have a route tree of 1 wr, and Demond has taken 6/7 bad sacks against a average FCS Defense and two lower 1/4 FCS defense ie of 138 D1/D2 schools WSU and UC Davis are in the 110's and lower on that side of the ball.
On D we can't get any pressure with 4 let alone 3 and at LB we are beyond critically thin. If Davis doesn't play this week, Jermiah Smith, Tate, and the rest of thier wr's will be as open as Evans was Saturday when Jedd ran it up end of game Saturday from snap 1
We will know pretty early in the game how it's going to go.
creepycoug
Well-known poster
Yeah but still …
All I know is the tOSU hopes the Husky defense sells out against the run Sudden death. Anybody catch the Rose Bowl? Only Kwat has slowed down Buck. Doing Kwat things. Safety first
I think you're going to be correct about Oregon.
Tequilla
Active poster
My thoughts on the OL are that we have at least 2 guys on the OL that are looking like they will be NFL players. Willis is at worst an early Day 3 pick IMO and Mills trajectory is moving towards a Top 2 round guy. I could see G Hatchett being a NFL pick and if Ass-Party continues on his trajectory he likely becomes a NFL pick down the road. The "elite" OL play for UW will be coming on the horizon in the coming years but this is a line that has some good pieces.
The youth at WR likely eliminates any hope of consistency and I think it's absolutely logical to think that Ohio St is going to put a lot of pressure to take away the run game (notably Demond's) and shift coverage over to Boston. That could create some 1 on 1 opportunities for the other WRs to break a big play. It also should open up the opportunity for DeGraaf to have a big game … I'm thinking 5+ catches for him.
The defensive concerns are absolutely valid. I do think that the depth of the DL is good and it has largely looked the part against the run game. If we can take away their ability to lean on the run game to effectively move the ball then that's the path to winning … got to put their QB in a position to make plays and not make mistakes.
Tequilla
Active poster
The Cougs very clearly tried to take away Coleman on the ground … so instead we ran Demond on some zone reads for large untouched gains and then got Jonah the ball outside of the box in the passing game. Good offense is taking what the defense gives you.
For those that get critical of Demond taking a sack he shouldn't … that's part of learning and growing as a QB. It's also part of what you sign up for with him as a QB because for every sack that he takes trying to extend play he makes multiple plays through his ability to extend.
I'd be more worried about the WRs outside of Boston if we lacked quantity of guys … we have a lot of potentially explosive players that can get you at any given moment.
Tequilla
Active poster
I realize that we've largely played dreck but we're giving up just over 2 yards per carry this year and haven't had a game where we've given up more than low 3's.
If you look at Ohio St's top 2 RBs they don't appear to be game breakers.
It's Ohio St so they're going to have good players … but this just doesn't feel like an elite version.
I was saying before the season that the loser of the Texas vs Ohio St game was going to miss the playoffs … Texas almost assuredly is going to. Had Ohio St lost I thought it was very realistic that they'd lose 2 Big10 games this year. Washington is a logical game for them to lose if that is the case.
If you look at Ohio St's top 2 RBs they don't appear to be game breakers.
It's Ohio St so they're going to have good players … but this just doesn't feel like an elite version.
I was saying before the season that the loser of the Texas vs Ohio St game was going to miss the playoffs … Texas almost assuredly is going to. Had Ohio St lost I thought it was very realistic that they'd lose 2 Big10 games this year. Washington is a logical game for them to lose if that is the case.
Gaymes are won in the trenches. I think you could run through the holes tOSU line will create - over and over and over. KISS.
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I think @pawz is probably closer to the mark on this.
PostGameOrangeSlices
Well-known poster
I think the dline depth is being underestimated
Sagapulu, Lynch, and at least one Parker brother will be ready to go.
Sagapulu, Lynch, and at least one Parker brother will be ready to go.