Final Polls Starting To Roll Out
- Thread starter thechatch
- Start date
as in both the 2016 and 2020 elections, Rs have stopped responding to pollsters.
They will show up on ED and Tuesday night is gonna be wild.
I only follow 4 polling organizations. I dig deep in their data and their methods and know they are solid in their collection of accurate information. While 2016 was an outlier for them (2 predicted Trump would win and the others were off by a bit). 3 are picking Trump this time. It's kind of unusual historically for these guys to be as different in their conclusions as they are on this one. One has Trump up by quite a bit, two within a margin of error and the 4th with a toss up (again, unusual for these organizations). They are not affiliated with any university, mainstream media outlet, no party affiliation and they don't take a dime for their independent work on elections (the key ingredient and why I follow them so close) as they know that whoever is paying is biased when it comes to these election season polls and they want to stay away from that.
I am cautiously optimistic, but as we know for fact, democrats cheat and that creates variables no one can anticipate.
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Pollsters also famously fail to contact low propensity Trump voters.
Add early voting in and it's really hard to predict.
Cautiously optimistic that it's going to be too big to cheat out of.