Commitments and Visits in the Petersen Era (2014-2017 data)

backthepack

New Fish
I was curious about how our closing ability in the Petersen era (Visits correlated with commitments). What I found was very interesting. I used the 247 and rivals database to see who visited us and who committed. I did not account for already committed players so it may skew the data a little but still.

2017: 19/27 players who visited signed
2016: 20/30 players who visited signed
2015: 24/36 players who visited signed
2014: 23/30 players who visited signed**

86/123 total players who visited signed

70% of players who vistied signed!!

** Did not account for players who visited before december because Sark was the coach.

It's probably meaningless but still it's a pretty high conversion rate.
 
Last edited:
Here's a few schools for comparison sake.

Conversion Breakdowns (visitor to signee) 2014-2017

USC
2017: 14/27
2016: 14/29
2015: 23/31
2014: 17/24

Overall: 68/111
61.26%

Bama
2017: 27/45
2016: 19/57
2015: 24/36
2014: 24/48

Overall: 94 /186
50.53%

FSU
2017: 23/36
2016: 26/40
2015: 19/34
2014: 28/51

Overall: 96/161
59.62%

tOSU

2017: 17/30
2016: 23/42
2015: 26/46
2014: 20/36

Overall: 86/154
55.84%

Oklahoma

2017: 24/48
2016: 13/35
2015: 11/35
2014: 18/34

Overall: 66/152
43.42%
Not surprised it's Norman.

TL;DR
UW needs to bring in more elite guys on visits because they can sell the shit out of the program in SEATTLE. Winning will help a ton with getting elite guys up here on visits (duh). Basically we suck at getting (elite) kids up here.
 
Your stats don't mean what you think they mean.

Well duh it's not detailed enough. Kids take random visits just because, some schools just bring in a shit ton of kids, different visit strategies etc. I just thought it was chintresting.
 
Your stats don't mean what you think they mean.

Well duh it's not detailed enough. Kids take random visits just because, some schools just bring in a shit ton of kids, different visit strategies etc. I just thought it was chintresting.

Naw, my point is that we close such a high percentage because we bring in so few. For the most part kids that are already committed or have very high interest.

If we brought in as many kids as the other schools you listed our percentage would drop to a similar number.
 

Can you group the data by stars?

Also, don't do powerpoint. Microsoft products suck.

Can you do it in R?
 
Your stats don't mean what you think they mean.

Well duh it's not detailed enough. Kids take random visits just because, some schools just bring in a shit ton of kids, different visit strategies etc. I just thought it was chintresting.

Naw, my point is that we close such a high percentage because we bring in so few. For the most part kids that are already committed or have very high interest.

If we brought in as many kids as the other schools you listed our percentage would drop to a similar number.

I agree. Bama has a lower percentage of kids that visit and commit but that’s just because it’s all 5 Star kids who want to trip to Bama not because Bama is worse at selling.
 
Your stats don't mean what you think they mean.

Well duh it's not detailed enough. Kids take random visits just because, some schools just bring in a shit ton of kids, different visit strategies etc. I just thought it was chintresting.

Naw, my point is that we close such a high percentage because we bring in so few. For the most part kids that are already committed or have very high interest.

If we brought in as many kids as the other schools you listed our percentage would drop to a similar number.

I agree. Bama has a lower percentage of kids that visit and commit but that’s just because it’s all 5 Star kids who want to trip to Bama not because Bama is worse at selling.

I bet a lot of them go "Wow Mr. Saban is a dick"
 
those other schols bring in a shit ton of guys and only truly offer a few of tehm, so the data doesn't work as well as you'd hope.
 
Back
Top