CFP Selection Committee’s worst nightmare coming true!

[CuntWaffle]

I have a hard time envisioning that Georgia will be left out. But if they are included get ready for lawfare

Georgia will 100% be left out. It’s between Bama and FSU for the final spot.

 

[whatshouldicareabout]

I have a hard time envisioning that Georgia will be left out. But if they are included get ready for lawfare

We have 5 Power 5 Champions with an equal or greater record than UGA. And of these 6 teams, UGA has the lowest SOR

UGA is losing 3 tie-breakers here.

They are #6 at best

 

[DerekJohnson]

I have a hard time envisioning that Georgia will be left out. But if they are included get ready for lawfare

We have 5 Power 5 Champions with an equal or greater record than UGA. And of these 6 teams, UGA has the lowest SOR

UGA is losing 3 tie-breakers here.

They are #6 at best

Yes you're probably right and nobody here is going to feel sorry for them. But it's tough to be #1 most of the year and a 3-point loss to mighty Alabama is your only blemish and you're left out in the cold.

 

[animate]

FSU has to be in IMO.

 

[biak1]

Michigan, UW, FSU, Texas or blow the whole thing up

 

[KrunkJuice]

I have a hard time envisioning that Georgia will be left out. But if they are included get ready for lawfare

We have 5 Power 5 Champions with an equal or greater record than UGA. And of these 6 teams, UGA has the lowest SOR

UGA is losing 3 tie-breakers here.

They are #6 at best

Yes you're probably right and nobody here is going to feel sorry for them. But it's tough to be #1 most of the year and a 3-point loss to mighty Alabama is your only blemish and you're left out in the cold.

They said no team that has been ranked #1 at any point in the playoff rankings has ever been left out. They also said no team rated 6 or lower has made the jump in. I think Texas and Bama are 7 and 8.

 

[Canadawg]

I have a hard time envisioning that Georgia will be left out. But if they are included get ready for lawfare

We have 5 Power 5 Champions with an equal or greater record than UGA. And of these 6 teams, UGA has the lowest SOR

UGA is losing 3 tie-breakers here.

They are #6 at best

Yes you're probably right and nobody here is going to feel sorry for them. But it's tough to be #1 most of the year and a 3-point loss to mighty Alabama is your only blemish and you're left out in the cold.

The issue is that they were gifted #1 without needing to prove it most of the year. They're clearly not what they were over the past couple seasons

 

[LaZoris]

Off Shore Odds as of Sunday Morning 12:30am:

Football - NCAA Football Futures:[/b]

Alabama - To Make the Playoffs
Yes-110
No-120

Florida State - To Make the Playoffs
Yes-350
No+225

Georgia - To Make the Playoffs
Yes+1100
No-5000

Texas - To Make the Playoffs
Yes-300
No+220

2023-2024 NCAA Championship Winner
12/15/23

NCAA Champion
Michigan (#1)+110
Texas (#4)+325
Alabama (#5)+500
Washington (#2)+500
Florida State (#3)+1200
Georgia (#6)+3300

2023-2024 NCAA Championship Winner
12/15/23

NCAA Champion Michigan
Michigan+110
Field-150

 

[whlinder]

Unprecedented group of teams to work with. The case for Bama is laid out by Stewart Mandel this morning: more top 25 wins than Texas/FSU and he thinks following the process the committee goes through that Bama will make it all the way to 3. His 4 were Michigan, UW, Bama, FSU, forcing us to take on Bama in the Sugar.

Which is bullshit. We better get FSU or the Rose Bowl. Having to play Texas or Bama in the Sugar would be horseshit.

What we need to hope for:
SMU does not make the top 25 to replace Tulane and instead Utah comes back in. Another top 25 win for us.
Oregon ends up no worse than 8 with tOSU at 7. Ideally these are flipped, not punishing Oregon for playing an extra game since they were ahead of tOSU last week.
That’s enough to push us over Michigan and into the Rose. I hope.

Ideal standings:
1 UW
2 Mich
3 Texas
4 FSU

More likely:
1 UW
2 Mich
3 Bama
4 FSU

Meh but ok:
1 Mich
2 UW
3 FSU
4 Texas

Bullshit unless we’re playing in the Rose
1 Mich
2 UW
3 Bama
4 FSU

 

[CFetters_Nacho_Lover]

The committee doesn't just ask the #1 seed what bowl they want.

They try to minimize travel and maximize revenues, both TV and ticket sales.

They aren't going to play criss cross apple sauce geographically just because Harbaugh would like it.

View attachment 4584

Thank you!

 

[CFetters_Nacho_Lover]

I have a hard time envisioning that Georgia will be left out. But if they are included get ready for lawfare

We have 5 Power 5 Champions with an equal or greater record than UGA. And of these 6 teams, UGA has the lowest SOR

UGA is losing 3 tie-breakers here.

They are #6 at best

Yes you're probably right and nobody here is going to feel sorry for them. But it's tough to be #1 most of the year and a 3-point loss to mighty Alabama is your only blemish and you're left out in the cold.

They said no team that has been ranked #1 at any point in the playoff rankings has ever been left out. [/b]They also said no team rated 6 or lower has made the jump in. I think Texas and Bama are 7 and 8.

Wasn’t tOSU ranked number 1 for a week? They’re already out. Unprecedented but it could happen to 2 teams this year if tOSU was ranked at #1 at some point.

 

[GrundleStiltzkin]

Old man thought of the morning, bowls -n- polls would nail this one, Washington & Michigan in Rose Bowl for the natty.

 

[whlinder]

Old man thought of the morning, bowls -n- polls would nail this one, Washington & Michigan in Rose Bowl for the natty.

Yep. Hit me this morning too. The original bowl alignments would be very fulfilling. Georgia - FSU in Orange, Texas - Bama in Sugar, and what a Rose Bowl.

 

[CFetters_Nacho_Lover]

Old man thought of the morning, bowls -n- polls would nail this one, Washington & Michigan in Rose Bowl for the natty.

The plus 1 model would’ve been the best. Take the 2 highest ranked teams after the traditional bowls and let them play.

 

[1to392831weretaken]

I have a hard time envisioning that Georgia will be left out. But if they are included get ready for lawfare

We have 5 Power 5 Champions with an equal or greater record than UGA. And of these 6 teams, UGA has the lowest SOR

UGA is losing 3 tie-breakers here.

They are #6 at best[/s] #2 at worst[/b]

--@SECDAWG

 

[CFetters_Nacho_Lover]

The committee doesn't just ask the #1 seed what bowl they want.

They try to minimize travel and maximize revenues, both TV and ticket sales.

They aren't going to play criss cross apple sauce geographically just because Harbaugh would like it.

View attachment 4584

Thank you!

Here’s the proof on this:
https://twitter.com/jeffbechthold/status/1731118960668799103?s=46&t=MxMhwXZCR1GxGeyWUWtVTQ

 

[UW_Doog_Bot]

Old man thought of the morning, bowls -n- polls would nail this one, Washington & Michigan in Rose Bowl for the natty.

Yep. Hit me this morning too. The original bowl alignments would be very fulfilling. Georgia - FSU in Orange, Texas - Bama in Sugar, and what a Rose Bowl.

BuT a TwElvE TeAm PlayoFf!

 

[ntxduck]

Michigan is the 1. They’ll pick the rose because they’ll be playing fsu or Bama (most likely Bama) and will not want to play either in NO.

UW will be the 2 and play Sark in the sugar bowl.

This is locked in now per the odds. Only uncertainty is Bama/fsu at 4. But looks like they’re gonna tell fsu to kick rocks

 

[UW_Doog_Bot]

Michigan is the 1. They’ll pick the rose because they’ll be playing fsu or Bama (most likely Bama) and will not want to play either in NO.

UW will be the 2 and play Sark in the sugar bowl.

This is locked in now per the odds. Only uncertainty is Bama/fsu at 4. But looks like they’re gonna tell fsu to kick rocks

I'm hearing the odds mean Oregon won.

 

[ntxduck]

Michigan is the 1. They’ll pick the rose because they’ll be playing fsu or Bama (most likely Bama) and will not want to play either in NO.

UW will be the 2 and play Sark in the sugar bowl.

This is locked in now per the odds. Only uncertainty is Bama/fsu at 4. But looks like they’re gonna tell fsu to kick rocks

I'm hearing the odds mean Oregon won.

Odds on events that are selected by committees (ncaa bubble, cfp playoff) are a lot more spot on. Because there are self-important people in the room leaking info. Not comparable to game odds.