Skimmed through to the UW part:
UW has added the most consistent talent over the last 4 years, and he does not expect that to change. It has just been an incremental addition and steady recruiting.Expect continued talent acquisition on Montlake.[/b]
He says UW is the best example of what all fans hope for but that rarely happens. To flip a program in a short time, typically you have to kill your first two FULL classes. Washington's first two classes under Petersen were not elite. He has been incrementally increasing his Blue Chip talent. Washington is the prime example of a team who had to win first, and recruits started to take notice. That is what fans expect: win and recruits will show up. Rarely is that the case, but Petersen has made it true.
Penn State as the opposite example who has the same type of percentage. Franklin got a lot of hype and got a lot of talent in before he started winning. Oregon is starting to do the same thing under Cristobal. Insane recruiting hype without the necessary winning.
He does not expect Washington to go anywhere. They will continue winning, being consistent, and the recruits who care about winning will continue to notice and sign on.
Also to note, Bud Elliot is not saying that this ratio will predict who wins the National Title, just that the champion will come from this list of teams with 50% plus. He's been waiting for a team to bust it, but it hasn't happened.
The only way he expects a team could do this would be that they are already in the 40% of Blue Chips, develop talent well, and then get a transcendent QB. Oregon almost did it with Mariota, and Clemson had Watson (but had cleared the 50% mark).
Similar thought for who in the 50% could beat the 80% teams. Get solid talent in the two deeps. Develop talent extremely well. Get a transcendent QB.
Sound like any team you root for?