I think the committee messed up when they put TCU at 3 the past week. It really left the door open for them to get completely reamed if they oust them now. Everyone knows you can't knock FSU out if they win, so why dangle them at the 4?
They should have had the only revolving door spot held by one of the fringe teams (TCU, Baylor, OSU) and then reseed accordingly after the championship games played out.
They will look like complete douche nozzles if they bump TCU out after placing them at 3, even though tOSU needs to be in for any credibility to remain.
What has Ohio State done to make them a lock to the extent that if they aren't in the Top 4 teams that there is no credibility? Excluding Florida State, there are 5 teams with 1 losses that are fighting for 3 spots. Alabama lost on the road to Ole Miss (
probably in the playoff bowl group). Oregon lost at home to Arizona (who they played in the conference title game -
another team that will be in the playoff bowl group). TCU lost on the road to Baylor (a team that has a chance to be in the Final Four and for sure will be in the playoff bowl group). Baylor lost on the road to West Virginia. Ohio State lost at home to Virginia Tech. Of that group, unquestionably the worst loss of the bunch is Ohio State. When you add to that that the two worst conferences this year were either the Big 10 or the ACC, and the champ of the Big 10 was beat by an extremely mediocre team from the ACC, to me, those are the compelling reasons to exclude Ohio State.
The only reason to move TCU to number 3 last week was to confirm that the opinion of them was that barring a loss this weekend (or a close game), TCU was going to be in the Final Four teams.
And regarding those always pointing out that TCU lost to Baylor therefore Baylor should be rated higher, college football has a lengthy history of ignoring that when comparing similar teams. Two instances that come to mind immediately:
1993: Notre Dame beat Florida State in South Bend and then lost to an above average Boston College team at home. Florida State won the national title.
2000: Florida State lost to Miami who lost to Washington. All were 1 loss teams - Washington's loss was to a 2 loss Oregon team that shared the conference championship. Florida State played for the BCS title against Oklahoma.