Free Money Update

There are somethings that I'd default to @pawz knowledge on …
I also seem to recall way back when telling @pawz that UW would beat USC in 2009 (pretty sure I ran into him tailgating pre-game) and he told me I was crazy …
 
I think UW has a really good chance to win the game straight up
The top 2 RBs for Ohio St have not shown any kind of game breaking ability to date … it would seem like their 3rd string true-freshman (Bo Jackson) has the game breaking ability but not sure that he's getting enough non-garbage time snaps to be super threatening.
Through 3 games the UW defense is giving up 2.4 yards per carry so while the DL may not have any true elite difference makers there is a strength in numbers approach that allows the DL to maximize their effort on each play.
The key defensively is to win on early downs in the run game and now allow Ohio St to take pressure off of the young QB. While there is risk in asking the QB to beat you given the elite WR talent that they have, the path to beating Ohio St is forcing Sayin to make plays in the passing game (for UW in favorable down/distance situations). It's also obviously easier said than done but Ohio St is heavily dependent on their 2 WRs as they account for over 50% of their total completions and nobody else on the roster has more than 4 catches in 3 games.
The offense will score some points … too much talent at different levels to not put the Ohio St defense in some difficult situations. I suspect that the Ohio St game plan is going to be bringing pressure, forcing Demond to stay inside the pocket, and trying to take away his run game. The challenge with this is Demond's accuracy and being able to take advantage of what should be a lot of single coverage. I suspect that this becomes a very big game for the TEs … notably DeGraaf.
This Ohio St team is a very good team. I don't think they are the #1 team in the country good. I don't think by Ohio St standards that this is an elite team of theirs.
I read the entire post and I AGREE.
 
There are somethings that I'd default to @pawz knowledge on …
I also seem to recall way back when telling @pawz that UW would beat USC in 2009 (pretty sure I ran into him tailgating pre-game) and he told me I was crazy …
I’m sure this happened. lol. However I don’t remember if it was that USC gayme. I recall ‘magic’ being in the air before that game.

.
 
There are somethings that I'd default to @pawz knowledge on …
I also seem to recall way back when telling @pawz that UW would beat USC in 2009 (pretty sure I ran into him tailgating pre-game) and he told me I was crazy …
I’m sure this happened. lol. However I don’t remember if it was that USC gayme. I recall ‘magic’ being in the air before that game.

.
Thing with these upsets is that you need a lot of things working in your favor … particularly when you hear a lot of people singling the game out for an upset potential.
UW could get absolutely boat raced on Saturday with both sides of the LOS getting worked over
OR
There's a little "magic" in the air where things just so happen to break decidedly in the favor of the underdog
I'm hearing just enough out of Ohio St to suggest that there's a mix of respect but also an intense focus on just playing against themselves. There's a certain arrogance that can come into programs where they feel like if they just do their things well that they will win. It's a dangerous slope.
 
Here is my $100 bet for the week ~ a parlay that pays +650 and I personally think that Oregon wins the game, Georgia wins by at least a touchdown and my desire would have been to get 10 vs the Buckies but i still think the +8 is a winner. I haven't lost on a bet this year (6 for 6) and this is probably a reach because of Washington but we will see obviously.
Comment on Washington ~ the offense will score unlike Texas that offered minimal QB big plays but I'm not a believer in our ability to handle the line of scrimmage defensively and our defensive backfield is thin [much less the line backing crew] so the dawgs could get shredded. This is really a bet on what Im guessing is a better UW offense and enough bandaids and a few big plays defensively to keep the game within a touchdown to enable a shot for a what seems like Husky Magic in the 4th quarter.
Football College Football - 195 Oregon +3 Ev for Game Sep 27 07:30 PM EST -Football College Football - 198 Georgia -3 -110 for Game Sep 27 03:30 PM EST -Football College Football - 202 Washington +8 -110 for Game
I like Georgia -3 as well.
And I like Missouri -44.5 against Umass.
 
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