Recent content by Quackingduck

Ohio State that year was kind of like Washington this year, except with a far weaker schedule, and certainly no win akin to Washington's win over Oregon. It's not clear if OSU or Alabama would have gotten into the title game if OSU had been eligible. Alabama was #2 in the final regular season...

Who should we root for in the Texas vs Ok State game? (Which only has an 11% chance at an upset per this model.) Should we somewhat counter-intuively actually root for Texas, so that Georgia and Alabama would both end up stuck behind Texas if the committee follows head to head results? And of...

Alabama + FSU + Michigan + Texas + Oregon winning= Oregon having 94% chance at playoff. The predictor predicts the SEC to probably completely get shut out of the playoffs in that scenario, with Texas having a 57% chance at the playoffs to Alabama's 43% Alabama + FSU + Michigan + Oklahoma State...

Utah is out of the top 25 and Oregon State is at a small risk of falling out of the CFP top 25 (although the coaches and AP polls both have them around #21 or 22) precisely because Oregon routed them so badly. People are basically arguing that Oregon should be penalized for routing Oregon State...

Oregon is in a nice self-contained bubble transitive property wise. Our only loss is to undefeated Washington, who only we have the opportunity to beat. On the other hand, Alabama lost to Texas, which lost to Oklahoma, which lost to both Oklahoma State and Kansas. Oklahoma State lost 33-7 to...