Recent content by incremetal_progress

It's looking like the one state that Joe Biden may actually overperform is Pennsylvania. Trump probably should have identified Biden's strength in Scranton and bet big on Wisconsin instead. The black turnout that Hillary couldn't get in Milwaukee, Atlanta, and Philly is gonna be the difference.

Final prediction: Biden wins pop vote 52.5-44. Wins NC, AZ, by 1-2. PA by 6, WI by 8, MI by 8. NV by 8. Toss ups: Florida, Georgia. Lean Trump: Ohio, Iowa, Texas. Dems probably hold 51 senate seats going into the Georgia runoff(s). I had low expectations going into the Biden campaign but by...

Wasserman gets it. https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1313606236361961473

Trump probably will win Florida, that is not surprising. The Arizona polls are weird and have a mix of close races and Biden up a lot. Average them to a solid Biden lead and Sinema also outperformed polling in 2018. No idea what polls he's talking about in Michigan or Pennsylvania, not even...

https://www.politico.com/news/2020/09/23/trump-biden-first-debate-420189 El. Oh. El. So now Trump's team are starting to pull the fire alarm over the ridiculously low debate expectations they have set for Biden. Little late for that....

You're right healthcare is a real winning issue for Trump right now. I wonder why he isn't leaning into it more.

You can attack her personally and quibble with some of her remarks but the message on healthcare is direct and devastating. Yes the republicans got the SCOTUS supermajority liberals feared greatly, congratulations it's devastating. But it's also not going to play well in November, both things...

They aren't going to attack the individual, they are actually for once being smart and talking about what the court is going to do. =29s 70% don't want to overturn Roe, about the same don't want the ACA's protections repealed.

That is literally what will happen. Why aren't you celebrating?

they have.

You want it destroyed. More than 65% of the electorate does not. Also Lindsay basically crying and begging Fox News viewers for help shows where things are headed.https://twitter.com/ProjectLincoln/status/1308227714638200834

Right holding the senate is the only difference. Under those circumstances yes it helped Trump because because Evangelical Christians were otherwise a weakness for him. Under 2020 circumstances where evangelicals and conservatives are already rabidly for him and it's still not enough to win...

The circumstances could not be less similar to 2016. But I get it, 2016, 2016, 2016.

she's losing either way. So are McSally and Gardner. Control of the senate senate is down to NC and Iowa.